Everton vs Coventry Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.72
Draw
4.06
Away Win
4.87
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Everton
Coventry
52'
⚽ Yann Gboho
Thierno Barry (Vitaliy Mykolenko) ⚽
56'
Thierno Barry ⚽
61'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Thierno Barry) ⚽
81'
Jarrad Branthwaite 🟨
88'
88'
🟨 Caleb Yirenkyi
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Everton (4-2-3-1)
J. Pickford
M. Röhl
J. Tarkowski
J. Branthwaite
V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong
J. Garner
T. Dibling
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George
T. Barry
Coventry (4-2-3-1)
C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
S. Mfuni
E. Pinnock
J. Dasilva
V. Torp
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
T. Sakamoto
J. Rudoni
Y. Gboho
T. Awoniyi
Player Ratings ?
Everton
T. BarryF8.7
K. Dewsbury-HallM8.0
V. MykolenkoD7.3
Coventry
Y. GbohoM7.2
L. TchaounaF6.7
V. TorpM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Everton edge recent form, attack and defence, Coventry edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Everton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Coventry slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Everton have secured two victories and one draw in their last five home outings, while Coventry have managed just a solitary win away from home over that same span. The Toffees have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that period. Everton face no confirmed absences with just two players marked as doubtful, whereas Coventry carry two certain unavailabilities alongside three others in doubt. Everton rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Coventry hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2001. Over the 11-day comparison window, Everton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Coventry's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Coventry losing run
3
Coventry points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Everton
Everton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Everton win as less likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Everton win
Latest market chance 56.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
58.0% → 56.1%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.8%
+0.5 pts
Coventry win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
18.7% → 20.0%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Everton
Draw
Coventry
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EvertonCoventry
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
16th
9
Games Played
9
1.44
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.78
14.0
Shots/Game
11.2
5.0
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Everton at home (6 matches) vs Coventry away (6 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.50
1.83
Goals/Game
0.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.17
67%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Everton
Home form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Coventry
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Everton Wins
2
Draws
1
Coventry Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Coventry1 – 3Everton
Everton1 – 2Coventry
Coventry1 – 0Everton
Everton1 – 1Coventry
Everton2 – 0Coventry
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Evertonvs
Coventry
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 54.3%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 54.7%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Everton's 10 matches and 1 of Coventry's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?