Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Selhurst Park
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.64
Draw
4.44
Away Win
1.58
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
24'
🟨 Ronald Araujo
40'
⚽ Alexis Mac Allister (Dominik Szoboszlai)
54'
⚽ Florian Wirtz (Bradley Barcola)
59'
🟨 Bradley Barcola
Yeremy Pino 🟨
71'
82'
🟨 Víctor Muñoz
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
82'
83'
🟨 Alexis Mac Allister
89'
⚽ Alexander Isak (Florian Wirtz)
Eddie Nketiah ⚽ (P)
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
19
Total Shots
20
7
Shots on Goal
8
4
Corner Kicks
7
10
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)
D. Henderson
C. Richards
A. Disasi
J. Lerma
Óscar Mingueza
A. Wharton
Q. Timber
T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
Yeremy Pino
J. Strand Larsen
Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Alisson Becker
R. Araújo
J. Jacquet
V. van Dijk
M. Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister
C. Gakpo
F. Wirtz
B. Barcola
A. Isak
Player Ratings ?
Crystal Palace
E. NketiahF7.3
J. Strand LarsenF6.7
Q. TimberM6.6
Liverpool
F. WirtzM8.5
A. Mac AllisterM8.2
A. IsakF7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Liverpool
Liverpool rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Liverpool an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Liverpool have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Crystal Palace have suffered four defeats in their same number of home fixtures. Crystal Palace have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same recent period. Liverpool rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Liverpool won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 25 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Crystal Palace's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Crystal Palace's implied win probability has fallen by 3.8 percentage points, while Liverpool's implied win probability has risen by 5.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Liverpool.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Crystal Palace points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Liverpool
Liverpool's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Liverpool win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crystal Palace win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
21.4% → 17.6%
−3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.0% → 21.8%
−1.2 pts
Liverpool win
Latest market chance 60.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
55.6% → 60.6%
+5.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crystal Palace
Draw
Liverpool
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
6th
9
Games Played
9
0.78
Points/Game
1.67
1.00
Goals/Game
1.22
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.9
Shots/Game
16.0
3.8
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Crystal Palace at home (6 matches) vs Liverpool away (6 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.67
1.33
Goals/Game
2.17
2.67
Conceded/Game
0.83
17%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crystal Palace
Home form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Liverpool
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crystal Palace Wins
1
Draws
1
Liverpool Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Crystal Palace1 – 3Liverpool
Liverpool3 – 1Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace2 – 1Liverpool
Liverpool1 – 1Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace0 – 1Liverpool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crystal Palacevs
Liverpool
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 60.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.5%→Latest 57.7%−2.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?