Coventry vs Sunderland Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Coventry Building Society Arena
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.18
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.36
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Coventry
Sunderland
Victor Torp 🟨
7'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto ⚽
17'
Taiwo Awoniyi ⚽
37'
Jack Rudoni (Victor Torp) ⚽
52'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 🟨
55'
67'
⚽ (P) Enzo Le Fée
90+4'
🟨 Omar Alderete
90+9'
🟥 Omar Alderete
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Coventry (4-2-3-1)
C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
S. Mfuni
E. Pinnock
J. Dasilva
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
V. Torp
T. Sakamoto
J. Rudoni
Y. Gboho
T. Awoniyi
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
R. Roefs
T. Hume
L. O'Nien
O. Alderete
Reinildo
N. Sadiki
G. Xhaka
C. Rigg
E. Le Fée
N. Angulo
B. Brobbey
Player Ratings ?
Coventry
J. RudoniM8.2
T. AwoniyiF7.7
T. SakamotoM7.3
Sunderland
E. Le FéeM7.2
C. RiggM6.6
G. XhakaM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Coventry edge head-to-head, Sunderland edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sunderland slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sunderland slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Coventry stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sunderland have secured just one win and drawn once from their last five away outings, while Coventry mirror that struggle at home with identical returns of a solitary victory and a draw in their most recent five matches. Coventry have found the net in just one of their last five home contests and have kept only a single clean sheet during that same period. The hosts face significant selection issues with four players out and one doubtful, whereas Sunderland have two unavailable squad members alongside two others listed as doubtful. Sunderland hold a slight advantage in form and attack, while Coventry rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Coventry won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 15 March 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Sunderland's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Coventry's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points, while Sunderland's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Coventry
Coventry's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Coventry win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Sunderland remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Coventry win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
35.2% → 31.7%
−3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.2%
+0.1 pts
Sunderland win
Latest market chance 40.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.7% → 40.1%
+3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Coventry
Draw
Sunderland
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CoventrySunderland

Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
20th
8
Games Played
8
0.75
Points/Game
0.63
0.75
Goals/Game
0.75
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.75
11.2
Shots/Game
12.2
3.3
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Coventry at home (5 matches) vs Sunderland away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
0.20
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
1.80
Conceded/Game
2.60
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Coventry
Home form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Sunderland
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Coventry Wins
3
Draws
2
Sunderland Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
Coventry3 – 0Sunderland
Sunderland2 – 2Coventry
Sunderland0 – 3Coventry
Coventry0 – 0Sunderland
Coventry2 – 1Sunderland
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Coventryvs
Sunderland

Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
6/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.4%→Latest 49.7%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 54.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Coventry's 10 matches and 2 of Sunderland's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?