Coventry vs Fulham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Coventry Building Society Arena
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.21
Draw
3.53
Away Win
2.28
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Coventry
Fulham
36'
🟨 Shea Charles
80'
⚽ Oscar Bobb (Josh King)
82'
🟨 Antonee Robinson
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
13
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
6
9
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Coventry (4-2-3-1)
C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas
E. Pinnock
J. Dasilva
M. Grimes
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
T. Sakamoto
J. Rudoni
B. Thomas-Asante
S. Cherif
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
B. Leno
T. Castagne
D. Affengruber
C. Bassey
A. Robinson
H. Larsson
S. Charles
Oscar Bobb
Joshua King
A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García
Player Ratings ?
Coventry
E. PinnockD7.0
J. DasilvaD6.8
S. CherifF6.7
Fulham
Oscar BobbM8.2
Joshua KingM7.7
B. LenoG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Coventry edge head-to-head, Fulham edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fulham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Coventry stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fulham have struggled away from home with just two draws in their last five outings, while Coventry sit at 1 win and 1 draw in that same span at the club's ground. Coventry's attack has found the net in only one of their last five home matches, and they have managed just a single clean sheet during that period. Four players are currently unavailable for Coventry ahead of this Premier League fixture. Fulham rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Coventry rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Coventry won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 10 April 2022, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Fulham's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.5 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Coventry's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Fulham's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Coventry losing run
50%
Fulham yellow cards after 75'
2
Fulham points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Coventry
Coventry's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Coventry win as less likely than it did 12 days ago. Fulham remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Coventry win
Latest market chance 30.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.8% → 30.1%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.4%
+0.2 pts
Fulham win
Latest market chance 42.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
41.0% → 42.4%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Coventry
Draw
Fulham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CoventryFulham
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
19th
7
Games Played
7
0.86
Points/Game
0.71
0.86
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.43
11.2
Shots/Game
14.0
3.3
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Coventry at home (5 matches) vs Fulham away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.00
1.40
Goals/Game
0.60
1.80
Conceded/Game
0.80
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Coventry
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fulham
Away form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Coventry Wins
2
Draws
0
Fulham Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.5
Fulham1 – 3Coventry
Coventry4 – 1Fulham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Coventryvs
Fulham
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
6/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 54.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 58.7%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Coventry's 10 matches and 3 of Fulham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?