Chelsea vs Tottenham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stamford Bridge
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
4.06
Away Win
4.11
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Chelsea
Tottenham
67'
🟨 Conor Gallagher
71'
🟨 Micky van de Ven
Cole Palmer 🟨
71'
71'
🟨 Mateus Fernandes
72'
🟨 Roberto De Zerbi
77'
⚽ (OG) Mike Penders
Pedro Neto 🟨
79'
Cole Palmer 🟥
80'
87'
⚽ Mathys Tel
Morgan Rogers 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
32%
Ball Possession
68%
7
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
6
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Chelsea (3-4-2-1)
M. Penders
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
M. Lacroix
L. Colwill
Pedro Neto
M. Caicedo
J. Henderson
J. Hato
C. Palmer
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
M. Rogers
Tottenham (4-2-3-1)
A. Kinský
A. Gray
J. van Hecke
M. van de Ven
A. Robertson
Mateus Fernandes
S. Tonali
M. Kudus
J. Maddison
M. Tel
Omar Marmoush
Player Ratings ?
Chelsea
D. WelbeckF6.7
M. LacroixD6.6
L. ColwillD6.6
Tottenham
M. TelM8.1
A. KinskýG7.8
Mateus FernandesM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Chelsea
Chelsea rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Tottenham edge defence, giving Chelsea a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chelsea stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chelsea stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tottenham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Chelsea stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tottenham have recorded just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Chelsea have secured three victories in their most recent five home outings. Chelsea have found the net in all of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Chelsea rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Tottenham hold a slight advantage in defence. Chelsea won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 May 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Tottenham's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Chelsea's implied win probability has risen by 4.6 percentage points, while Tottenham's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Chelsea a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Chelsea
Chelsea's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Chelsea win as more likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chelsea win
Latest market chance 52.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
51.6% → 52.9%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.7%
−0.2 pts
Tottenham win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.4% → 23.4%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chelsea
Draw
Tottenham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChelseaTottenham
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
17th
7
Games Played
7
1.86
Points/Game
0.86
2.43
Goals/Game
0.86
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.43
13.6
Shots/Game
15.5
5.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Chelsea at home (5 matches) vs Tottenham away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.60
Goals/Game
0.60
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chelsea
Home form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tottenham
Away form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea Wins
5
Draws
0
Tottenham Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Chelsea2 – 1Tottenham
Tottenham0 – 1Chelsea
Chelsea1 – 0Tottenham
Tottenham3 – 4Chelsea
Chelsea2 – 0Tottenham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chelseavs
Tottenham
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 62.4%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.6%→Latest 62.3%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Chelsea's 10 matches and 3 of Tottenham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?