Chelsea vs Leeds Head to Head, Prediction
Stamford Bridge
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.81
Draw
3.83
Away Win
4.20
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chelsea edge recent form and attack, Leeds edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chelsea stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chelsea stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leeds stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leeds stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chelsea win
Latest market chance 52.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.1% → 52.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 24.9%
±0.0 pts
Leeds win
Latest market chance 23.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.1% → 23.1%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chelsea
Draw
Leeds
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChelseaLeeds
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
10
1.60
Points/Game
1.40
1.90
Goals/Game
1.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.80
13.6
Shots/Game
12.1
5.7
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Chelsea at home (5 matches) vs Leeds away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.60
Goals/Game
0.60
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chelsea
Home form
W
D
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Leeds
Away form
W
D
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea Wins
2
Draws
1
Leeds Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Chelsea2 – 2Leeds
Leeds3 – 1Chelsea
Chelsea1 – 0Leeds
Leeds3 – 0Chelsea
Leeds0 – 3Chelsea
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chelseavs
Leeds
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 54.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 55.7%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?