Chelsea vs Bournemouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Bournemouth have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away fixtures, while Chelsea sit on two victories alongside a single draw in their home outings over the same period. The Blues have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that span. Chelsea face one confirmed absence and one doubtful option, whereas Bournemouth must manage six confirmed absences alongside another player listed as doubtful. Chelsea rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Bournemouth rate stronger on defence. The most recent meeting, on 30 December 2025, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 27-day comparison window, Chelsea's implied win probability has risen by 4.7 percentage points, while Bournemouth's implied win probability has fallen by 3.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.