Brentford vs Nott'm Forest Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gtech Community Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.08
Draw
3.82
Away Win
3.45
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Brentford
Nott'm Forest
Nikola Milenković ⚽ (OG)
30'
36'
🟨 Nikola Milenković
64'
🟨 Daniel Muñoz
Michael Kayode 🟨
68'
Igor Thiago (Jaidon Anthony) ⚽
76'
83'
🟨 James Mcatee
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
7
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
4
6
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Brentford (4-3-3)
C. Kelleher
M. Kayode
K. Ajer
S. van den Berg
K. Lewis-Potter
M. Sangaré
V. Janelt
M. Jensen
D. Ouattara
Thiago
K. Schade
Nott'm Forest (3-4-2-1)
M. Sels
Jair
N. Milenković
Murillo
O. Aina
J. McAtee
X. Schlager
N. Williams
M. Gibbs-White
D. Ndoye
L. Delap
Player Ratings ?
Brentford
ThiagoF7.8
S. van den BergD7.1
J. AnthonyF7.0
Nott'm Forest
JairD6.8
MurilloD6.5
D. MuñozD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Brentford edge recent form and attack, Nott'm Forest edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Brentford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Brentford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nott'm Forest have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Brentford boast two wins in their last five home fixtures. Brentford have found the net in all of their last five matches at home and have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Both squads carry significant injury concerns, with Brentford facing three confirmed absences alongside two doubts, while Nott'm Forest have three confirmed out and one doubtful player. Brentford rate stronger on form and attack, while Nott'm Forest rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Nott'm Forest won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 25 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Brentford's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Brentford's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points, while Nott'm Forest's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Nott'm Forest losing run
45%
Brentford yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nott'm Forest win as more likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Brentford remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Brentford win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.7% → 46.0%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 25.8%
−0.7 pts
Nott'm Forest win
Latest market chance 28.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.8% → 28.2%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Brentford
Draw
Nott'm Forest
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BrentfordNott'm Forest
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
18th
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
0.75
1.75
Goals/Game
0.75
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.25
13.1
Shots/Game
16.3
3.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Brentford at home (5 matches) vs Nott'm Forest away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.20
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.80
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Brentford
Home form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away form
L
D
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Brentford Wins
2
Draws
0
Nott'm Forest Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Brentford0 – 2Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest3 – 1Brentford
Nott'm Forest0 – 2Brentford
Brentford0 – 2Nott'm Forest
Brentford3 – 2Nott'm Forest
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Brentfordvs
Nott'm Forest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 54.9%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 58.1%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Brentford's 10 matches and 2 of Nott'm Forest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?