Bournemouth vs Nott'm Forest Head to Head, Prediction
Vitality Stadium
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.08
Draw
3.56
Away Win
3.50
Match Prediction
Data favours
Bournemouth
Bournemouth rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Bournemouth a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bournemouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bournemouth win
Latest market chance 46.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.0% → 46.3%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.6%
+0.3 pts
Nott'm Forest win
Latest market chance 27.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 27.1%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bournemouth
Draw
Nott'm Forest
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BournemouthNott'm Forest
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
16th
10
Games Played
10
1.50
Points/Game
0.90
1.60
Goals/Game
0.90
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.30
14.2
Shots/Game
16.3
4.9
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Bournemouth at home (5 matches) vs Nott'm Forest away (5 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
1.00
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.80
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bournemouth
Home form
D
D
L
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bournemouth Wins
2
Draws
3
Nott'm Forest Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
Nott'm Forest1 – 1Bournemouth
Bournemouth2 – 0Nott'm Forest
Bournemouth5 – 0Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest1 – 1Bournemouth
Bournemouth1 – 1Nott'm Forest
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bournemouthvs
Nott'm Forest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 52.5%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 55.7%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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