Aston Villa vs Fulham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Villa Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.04
Draw
3.68
Away Win
3.68
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Aston Villa
Fulham
John McGinn •
16'
30'
🟨 David Affengruber
Nicolas Jackson (Johan Manzambi) ⚽
39'
45+4'
🟨 Calvin Bassey
64'
⚽ (OG) Zion Suzuki
Matty Cash 🟨
76'
77'
🟨 Tom Cairney
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
16
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
7
7
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Z. Suzuki
M. Cash
V. Lindelöf
Pau Torres
I. Maatsen
B. Kamara
L. Goretzka
Alysson Edward
J. McGinn
J. Manzambi
N. Jackson
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
B. Leno
T. Castagne
D. Affengruber
C. Bassey
A. Robinson
S. Berge
S. Charles
Oscar Bobb
Joshua King
A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García
Player Ratings ?
Aston Villa
N. JacksonF8.2
J. ManzambiM7.1
I. MaatsenD6.9
Fulham
D. AffengruberD7.0
T. CastagneD7.0
S. BergeM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Aston Villa edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Fulham edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aston Villa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Aston Villa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aston Villa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fulham have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Aston Villa have secured two victories in their corresponding home sample. Villa have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Three Aston Villa players are unavailable for selection ahead of this Premier League fixture. Aston Villa rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Fulham rate stronger on defence. Fulham won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Aston Villa's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Aston Villa's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Fulham's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fulham losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
50%
Fulham yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Aston Villa
Aston Villa's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Aston Villa win as more likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aston Villa win
Latest market chance 47.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
46.6% → 47.8%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 25.9%
−0.4 pts
Fulham win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.2% → 26.4%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aston Villa
Draw
Fulham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Aston VillaFulham
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
15th
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
1.00
1.12
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
11.9
Shots/Game
14.0
3.3
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Aston Villa at home (5 matches) vs Fulham away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.20
Goals/Game
0.60
1.40
Conceded/Game
0.80
20%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aston Villa
Home form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fulham
Away form
D
L
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa Wins
4
Draws
0
Fulham Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Fulham1 – 0Aston Villa
Aston Villa3 – 1Fulham
Aston Villa1 – 0Fulham
Fulham1 – 3Aston Villa
Fulham1 – 2Aston Villa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aston Villavs
Fulham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 55.8%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 58.7%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Aston Villa's 10 matches and 2 of Fulham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?