Arsenal vs Hull Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Emirates Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.16
Draw
8.26
Away Win
17.91
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Arsenal
Hull
34'
🟨 Lewie Coyle
48'
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
54'
🟨 Sergej Jakirovic
61'
🟨 Brooke Norton-Cuffy
Martin Odegaard ⚽
72'
75'
🟨 Elliot Stroud
87'
🟨 Nobel Mendy
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
21
Total Shots
7
10
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
4
6
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
9
Starting Lineups
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
David Raya
J. Timber
E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães
R. Calafiori
Bruno Guimarães
D. Rice
N. Madueke
M. Ødegaard
C. Tzolis
K. Havertz
Hull (5-3-2)
K. Tzolakis
L. Coyle
S. Ajayi
J. Egan
N. Mendy
E. Stroud
T. Iroegbunam
L. Gourna-Douath
R. Slater
M. Cho
O. McBurnie
Player Ratings ?
Arsenal
M. ØdegaardM8.2
E. KonsaD7.3
Bruno GuimarãesM7.2
Hull
K. TzolakisG8.2
S. AjayiD7.2
T. IroegbunamM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Arsenal
Arsenal rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Arsenal a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Arsenal have been perfect at home with five wins from their last five outings, while Hull have recorded just one victory and a draw in that same away sample. The Gunners have found the net in all five of their recent home matches and also kept three clean sheets within that identical sequence. Arsenal rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. The market has remained broadly steady over the 12-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Arsenal a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Arsenal unbeaten run
50%
Arsenal yellow cards after 75'
15
Arsenal points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 12 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Arsenal win
Latest market chance 82.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
81.5% → 82.2%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 12.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.8% → 12.4%
−0.4 pts
Hull win
Latest market chance 5.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
5.7% → 5.3%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Arsenal
Draw
Hull
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArsenalHull
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
11th
9
Games Played
9
2.67
Points/Game
1.22
1.56
Goals/Game
1.22
0.56
Conceded/Game
1.11
13.8
Shots/Game
10.3
4.8
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Arsenal at home (5 matches) vs Hull away (5 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.80
2.00
Goals/Game
0.80
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.20
100%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Arsenal
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hull
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal Wins
4
Draws
1
Hull Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Arsenal2 – 0Hull
Hull1 – 4Arsenal
Hull1 – 3Arsenal
Arsenal2 – 2Hull
Hull0 – 3Arsenal
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arsenalvs
Hull
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 62.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 39.3%→Latest 39.5%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Arsenal's 10 matches and 1 of Hull's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?