Arsenal vs Everton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Emirates Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.21
Away Win
7.97
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Arsenal
Everton
Ezri Konsa (Viktor Gyökeres) ⚽
7'
45+1'
🟨 Vitaliy Mykolenko
Myles Lewis-Skelly 🟨
58'
Mikel Arteta 🟨
64'
66'
🟨 James Garner
Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (Ben White) ⚽
68'
79'
🟨 James Tarkowski
79'
🟨 David William Moyes
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
20
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
12
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
David Raya
B. White
E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães
M. Lewis-Skelly
D. Rice
Mikel Merino
N. Madueke
M. Ødegaard
E. Eze
V. Gyökeres
Everton (4-2-3-1)
J. Pickford
M. Röhl
J. Tarkowski
J. O'Brien
V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong
J. Garner
B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George
T. Barry
Player Ratings ?
Arsenal
Gabriel MagalhãesD8.5
E. KonsaD8.4
B. WhiteD7.9
Everton
J. PickfordG6.8
T. DiblingF6.7
H. ArmstrongM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Arsenal
Arsenal rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Arsenal an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Arsenal arrive at home having secured five wins from their last five outings, while Everton have drawn four of their previous five away matches. The Gunners have scored in each of their last five home games yet have kept just three clean sheets during that same period. Arsenal have two players unavailable and a further two listed as doubtful ahead of the Premier League encounter. Arsenal rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Arsenal won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 14 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Everton's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Arsenal's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points, while Everton's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Arsenal.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Arsenal unbeaten run
56%
Arsenal yellow cards after 75'
15
Arsenal points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Arsenal
Arsenal's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Arsenal win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Arsenal win
Latest market chance 65.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
68.3% → 65.3%
−3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
20.6% → 22.1%
+1.5 pts
Everton win
Latest market chance 12.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
11.1% → 12.6%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Arsenal
Draw
Everton
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArsenalEverton
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
2.57
Points/Game
1.43
1.57
Goals/Game
1.14
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.8
Shots/Game
14.0
4.8
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Arsenal at home (5 matches) vs Everton away (5 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.20
2.00
Goals/Game
0.80
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
100%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Arsenal
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Everton
Away form
D
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal Wins
3
Draws
2
Everton Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.6
Arsenal2 – 0Everton
Everton0 – 1Arsenal
Everton1 – 1Arsenal
Arsenal0 – 0Everton
Arsenal2 – 1Everton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arsenalvs
Everton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 50.0%−3.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.7%→Latest 46.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Arsenal's 10 matches and 3 of Everton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?