Worthing vs Sutton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.90
Draw
4.21
Away Win
3.47
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Worthing
Sutton
7'
🟨 T. Babalola
21'
⚽ (OG) J. Moore
24'
🟨 J. Knight
26'
⚽ T. Babalola (B. Njoku)
28'
🟨 J. Taylor
33'
⚽ (P) C. Carter
35'
🟨 C. Carter
J. Cook 🟨
55'
J. Moore 🟨
63'
73'
🟨 J. Francis
B. Smith 🟨
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Sutton arrive at Worthing having recorded two draws and three defeats in their last five away fixtures, while Worthing have secured three wins from two draws without a single loss during that same span at home. Worthing have found the net in all five of their recent home outings and have kept two clean sheets within that identical sample size. Worthing rate stronger on form. Over the 2-day comparison window, Worthing's implied win probability has fallen by 4.0 percentage points, while Sutton's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Sutton unbeaten run
2
Sutton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Worthing
Worthing's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Worthing win as less likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Worthing win
Latest market chance 49.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
53.1% → 49.1%
−4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.6%
+0.5 pts
Sutton win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
22.8% → 26.2%
+3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Worthing
Draw
Sutton
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WorthingSutton
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
12th
15
Games Played
15
1.87
Points/Game
1.40
2.13
Goals/Game
1.13
1.47
Conceded/Game
1.40
10.1
Shots/Game
6.2
6.0
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Worthing at home (9 matches) vs Sutton away (8 matches)
1.56
Points/Game
1.38
1.89
Goals/Game
1.25
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.25
44%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Worthing
Home form
D
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sutton
Away form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Sutton.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Worthingvs
Sutton
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 58.8%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 60.6%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?