Worthing vs Southend Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.66
Draw
4.12
Away Win
2.29
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Worthing
Southend
16'
⚽ O. Coker (K. McAdam)
24'
⚽ P. Omochere (K. McAdam)
C. Waller 🟨
38'
D. Johnson-Fisher (R. Coleman De-Graft) ⚽
57'
C. Adjetey-Brew (D. Johnson-Fisher) ⚽
63'
66'
⚽ T. Simpson (D. Cox)
J. Young (R. Coleman De-Graft) ⚽
76'
J. Young 🟨
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Southend have secured two wins and three draws from their last five away games, while Worthing have recorded three victories alongside a single defeat in their most recent home outings. Worthing have found the net in five of their last five home matches and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Worthing rate stronger on form. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Worthing win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.0% → 35.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.0% → 24.0%
±0.0 pts
Southend win
Latest market chance 41.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.0% → 41.0%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WorthingSouthend
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
3rd
14
Games Played
14
1.93
Points/Game
2.00
2.07
Goals/Game
2.36
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.1
Shots/Game
11.4
6.0
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Worthing at home (9 matches) vs Southend away (9 matches)
1.56
Points/Game
1.78
1.89
Goals/Game
2.56
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.56
44%
Win Rate
44%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Worthing
Home form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Southend
Away form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Southend.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Worthingvs
Southend
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.1%→Latest 67.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.2%→Latest 68.8%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?