Woking vs Harrogate Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kingfield Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.19
Draw
3.73
Away Win
2.11
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Woking
Harrogate
13'
🟨 S. Dreyer
20'
🟨 L. Cass
32'
⚽ E. Taylor (E. Bristow)
T. Akinola 🟨
39'
89'
🟨 E. Bristow
T. Odusina 🟨
90+2'
J. Marquis 🟨
90+3'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Woking edge head-to-head, Harrogate edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Woking stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Harrogate have secured three wins in their last five away outings, while Woking have managed two victories alongside two draws during their home fixtures over the same span. Woking have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet within that same recent sample. Harrogate rate stronger on form, while Woking rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 6-day comparison window, Woking's implied win probability has fallen by 8.3 percentage points, while Harrogate's implied win probability has risen by 8.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Harrogate
Harrogate's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Harrogate win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Woking win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.6% → 30.3%
−8.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.1%
−0.3 pts
Harrogate win
Latest market chance 43.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
35.0% → 43.6%
+8.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Woking
Draw
Harrogate
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WokingHarrogate
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
2nd
12
Games Played
12
1.25
Points/Game
2.08
1.67
Goals/Game
2.33
1.58
Conceded/Game
1.42
9.4
Shots/Game
12.3
4.1
Shots on Target
7.3
Home vs Away Context
Woking at home (8 matches) vs Harrogate away (8 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.62
1.50
Goals/Game
1.38
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.62
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Woking
Home form
W
D
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Harrogate
Away form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Woking Wins
1
Draws
0
Harrogate Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.0
Woking1 – 0Harrogate
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wokingvs
Harrogate
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 54.6%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 58.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?