Tamworth vs Scunthorpe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Lamb Ground
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.25
Draw
3.80
Away Win
2.87
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Tamworth
Scunthorpe
M. Roberts (K. Donnelly) ⚽
4'
K. Donnelly (T. Kurtaran) ⚽
14'
19'
🟨 T. Denton
R. Carter 🟨
32'
T. McGlinchey (M. Roberts) ⚽
43'
45+3'
⚽ A. Beestin (J. Norwood)
58'
🟨 D. Howe
D. Creaney (T. McGlinchey) ⚽
90+3'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tamworth edge recent form, Scunthorpe edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tamworth stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Scunthorpe stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Tamworth have secured three victories and a draw from their last five home outings, whereas Scunthorpe have managed just one win in their corresponding away fixtures over the same period. Tamworth have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical run. Tamworth rate stronger on form, while Scunthorpe rate stronger on head-to-head. Scunthorpe won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 6 December 2025, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Tamworth's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tamworth win
Latest market chance 42.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.5% → 42.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.7%
±0.0 pts
Scunthorpe win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.7% → 32.7%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TamworthScunthorpe
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
22nd
13
Games Played
13
1.08
Points/Game
0.77
1.62
Goals/Game
1.31
2.31
Conceded/Game
1.85
11.3
Shots/Game
7.6
5.4
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Tamworth at home (8 matches) vs Scunthorpe away (9 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.33
1.88
Goals/Game
0.89
1.38
Conceded/Game
2.22
50%
Win Rate
11%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tamworth
Home form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Scunthorpe
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tamworth Wins
0
Draws
0
Scunthorpe Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.5
Scunthorpe3 – 1Tamworth
Tamworth1 – 2Scunthorpe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tamworthvs
Scunthorpe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 64.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.3%→Latest 66.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?