Sutton vs Boreham Wood Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
VBS Community Stadium
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.39
Draw
3.69
Away Win
1.81
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Sutton
Boreham Wood
B. Amartey 🟨
37'
62'
⚽ C. Bush (Z. Brunt)
S. Folarin 🟨
78'
80'
⚽ D. Cashman
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boreham Wood stronger
Boreham Wood rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Boreham Wood arrive at Sutton with an impressive run of five away games without defeat, recording four wins and a single draw in that sample, while Sutton have won just two of their last five home outings and suffered two losses. At home, Sutton have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Boreham Wood rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Boreham Wood won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Sutton's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Sutton's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Boreham Wood's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Boreham Wood unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Boreham Wood points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Boreham Wood remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sutton win
Latest market chance 22.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.9% → 22.1%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.9% → 25.6%
+1.7 pts
Boreham Wood win
Latest market chance 52.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
53.2% → 52.2%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sutton
Draw
Boreham Wood
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SuttonBoreham Wood
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
1st
12
Games Played
12
1.50
Points/Game
2.67
1.17
Goals/Game
2.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.08
6.2
Shots/Game
10.9
3.0
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Sutton at home (8 matches) vs Boreham Wood away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
2.75
1.25
Goals/Game
2.38
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
88%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sutton
Home form
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Boreham Wood
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sutton Wins
2
Draws
1
Boreham Wood Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Boreham Wood1 – 0Sutton
Sutton3 – 4Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood0 – 0Sutton
Sutton2 – 0Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood0 – 1Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Suttonvs
Boreham Wood
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 53.1%−5.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 54.7%−4.9 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?