Southend vs Aldershot Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Roots Hall
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.38
Draw
5.30
Away Win
6.38
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Southend stronger
Southend rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Southend have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Aldershot have managed just a solitary win in their corresponding away sample. Southend have found the net in every one of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Southend rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Southend won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 14 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Aldershot's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Southend's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Aldershot's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Southend stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Aldershot losing run
3
Aldershot points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Southend
Southend's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Southend win as less likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Southend win
Latest market chance 66.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
68.3% → 66.2%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
18.4% → 19.2%
+0.8 pts
Aldershot win
Latest market chance 14.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
13.3% → 14.6%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Southend
Draw
Aldershot
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SouthendAldershot
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
14th
16
Games Played
16
1.81
Points/Game
1.31
2.38
Goals/Game
1.19
1.69
Conceded/Game
1.19
11.4
Shots/Game
8.7
6.6
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Southend at home (7 matches) vs Aldershot away (8 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
1.00
2.14
Goals/Game
0.88
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.38
57%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Southend
Home form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aldershot
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Southend Wins
4
Draws
1
Aldershot Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
Aldershot0 – 2Southend
Southend3 – 0Aldershot
Southend2 – 1Aldershot
Aldershot0 – 0Southend
Southend4 – 1Aldershot
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Southendvs
Aldershot
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.50
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.0%→Latest 67.5%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 60.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?