Solihull vs Carlisle Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Damson Park
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.26
Draw
4.63
Away Win
1.52
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Solihull
Carlisle
B. Wodskou ⚽
45+3'
J. Wakeling 🟨
51'
69'
⚽ M. Feeney
77'
⚽ D. Ajiboye (C. Whelan)
90+1'
🟨 H. Bunker
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Carlisle stronger
Carlisle rate stronger in recent form; head-to-head is closely matched. The overall statistical comparison rates Carlisle stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Carlisle have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, whereas Solihull have suffered four defeats in that same span at home. Solihull have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Carlisle rate stronger on form, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Solihull's implied win probability has fallen by 4.9 percentage points, while Carlisle's implied win probability has risen by 6.8 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Carlisle stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Solihull losing run
3
Solihull points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Carlisle
Carlisle's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Carlisle win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Solihull win
Latest market chance 19.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.9% → 19.0%
−4.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.2% → 21.3%
−1.9 pts
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 59.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
52.9% → 59.7%
+6.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Solihull
Draw
Carlisle
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SolihullCarlisle
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
14th
13
Games Played
13
0.54
Points/Game
1.31
1.00
Goals/Game
1.77
2.69
Conceded/Game
1.54
10.2
Shots/Game
12.2
4.6
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Solihull at home (9 matches) vs Carlisle away (8 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.75
0.78
Goals/Game
1.75
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.12
22%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Solihull
Home form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Carlisle
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Solihull Wins
0
Draws
2
Carlisle Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.0
Solihull3 – 3Carlisle
Carlisle1 – 1Solihull
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Solihullvs
Carlisle
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 64.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.3%→Latest 61.0%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?