Hornchurch vs Yeovil Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hornchurch Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.99
Draw
3.47
Away Win
2.31
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Hornchurch
Yeovil
26'
🟨 J. Kingdon
T. Wraight 🟨
33'
72'
⚽ Z. Westbrooke
79'
⚽ J. Daly (J. Gubbins)
87'
🟨 R. Jones
C. Pegrum (M. Weston) ⚽
89'
90+1'
🟨 J. Daly
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Hornchurch boast a strong home record with four wins from their last five outings at this venue, while Yeovil have managed three victories in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets in that same span. Yeovil rate stronger on form. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Hornchurch losing run
12
Hornchurch points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hornchurch win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.2% → 32.9%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.8%
+0.1 pts
Yeovil win
Latest market chance 40.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.0% → 40.3%
−0.7 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HornchurchYeovil
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
6th
14
Games Played
14
1.50
Points/Game
1.79
1.14
Goals/Game
2.36
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.21
8.3
Shots/Game
8.4
4.2
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Hornchurch at home (7 matches) vs Yeovil away (8 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
1.75
1.43
Goals/Game
1.88
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.12
71%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hornchurch
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Yeovil
Away form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Hornchurch and Yeovil.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hornchurchvs
Yeovil
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.9%→Latest 52.4%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 57.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?