Hartlepool vs Wealdstone Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Victoria Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.12
Draw
3.76
Away Win
3.10
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Wealdstone stronger
Wealdstone rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Wealdstone stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wealdstone stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wealdstone stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Wealdstone have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Hartlepool have recorded two victories but also suffered three defeats in that same number of home outings. Hartlepool have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, yet they have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that identical sample period. Wealdstone rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Wealdstone won the most recent meeting 7-0 on 31 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Hartlepool's 0, with 4 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Hartlepool's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points, while Wealdstone's implied win probability has risen by 2.5 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Wealdstone stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Hartlepool
Hartlepool's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hartlepool win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hartlepool win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
47.6% → 44.5%
−3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 26.1%
+0.5 pts
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 29.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.8% → 29.3%
+2.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hartlepool
Draw
Wealdstone
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HartlepoolWealdstone

Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
18th
16
Games Played
16
0.94
Points/Game
1.13
1.12
Goals/Game
1.44
1.69
Conceded/Game
1.81
7.3
Shots/Game
7.9
3.6
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Hartlepool at home (7 matches) vs Wealdstone away (8 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.38
0.86
Goals/Game
1.38
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.12
43%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Hartlepool
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Wealdstone
Away form
W
L
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hartlepool Wins
0
Draws
4
Wealdstone Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.2
Wealdstone7 – 0Hartlepool
Hartlepool1 – 1Wealdstone
Wealdstone1 – 1Hartlepool
Hartlepool1 – 1Wealdstone
Wealdstone4 – 4Hartlepool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hartlepoolvs
Wealdstone

Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 57.1%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.3%→Latest 59.5%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?