Harrogate vs Altrincham Head to Head | National League

Match Prediction

Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.

Match Analysis

Altrincham have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, while Harrogate boast four victories in their corresponding home sample over the same span. Harrogate have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that identical period. Harrogate hold a slight advantage in form. Over the 13-day comparison window, Harrogate's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Altrincham's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Harrogate unbeaten run

Harrogate points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from Harrogate

Harrogate's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Harrogate win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Harrogate win

Latest market chance 51.4%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

52.8% → 51.4%

−1.4 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.3%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.2% → 24.3%

+0.1 pts

Altrincham win

Latest market chance 24.3%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

23.0% → 24.3%

+1.3 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

13 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Harrogate

Draw

Altrincham

4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Harrogate

Altrincham

Season Profile

This season

2nd

League Position

7th

Games Played

2.00

Points/Game

1.75

2.12

Goals/Game

1.50

1.44

Conceded/Game

1.50

12.3

Shots/Game

6.7

7.3

Shots on Target

3.6

Home vs Away Context

Harrogate at home (8 matches) vs Altrincham away (8 matches)

2.38

Points/Game

1.50

2.88

Goals/Game

1.12

1.25

Conceded/Game

1.62

75%

Win Rate

50%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Harrogate

Home form

Won 3 straight at home

2.8

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Altrincham

Away form

Won 3 of last 5 away

1.4

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Harrogate and Altrincham.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Harrogate

Altrincham

Recent Scoring Profile

1.90

Goals scored / game

1.70

1.40

Goals conceded / game

1.60

8/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

1/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

80.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

59.9%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

39.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

60.3%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 58.1%→Latest 59.9%+1.8 pts

Notable move towards 3+ goals

An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 57.8%→Latest 60.4%+2.6 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Harrogate vs Altrincham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis