Gateshead vs Barrow Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gateshead International Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
5.63
Draw
4.16
Away Win
1.54
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Barrow stronger
Barrow rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Barrow stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Barrow have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Gateshead remain winless in four of their last five home outings. Gateshead have scored in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same sequence. Barrow rate stronger on form and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 13-day comparison window, Gateshead's implied win probability has risen by 0.4 percentage points, while Barrow's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Barrow stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Barrow unbeaten run
1
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Barrow
Barrow's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Barrow win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 17.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.7% → 17.1%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.5% → 21.9%
+1.4 pts
Barrow win
Latest market chance 61.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
62.9% → 61.0%
−1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gateshead
Draw
Barrow
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GatesheadBarrow
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
9th
15
Games Played
15
0.27
Points/Game
1.67
0.60
Goals/Game
1.73
2.27
Conceded/Game
1.27
6.1
Shots/Game
8.9
3.2
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Gateshead at home (6 matches) vs Barrow away (8 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.50
0.83
Goals/Game
1.75
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.62
17%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gateshead
Home form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barrow
Away form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gateshead Wins
2
Draws
1
Barrow Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Gateshead0 – 2Barrow
Barrow1 – 2Gateshead
Barrow1 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead1 – 2Barrow
Gateshead4 – 1Barrow
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gatesheadvs
Barrow
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.60
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 56.6%−3.3 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 53.6%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?