Fylde vs Hartlepool Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Mill Farm
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.70
Draw
4.15
Away Win
4.29
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Fylde
Hartlepool
3'
⚽ W. Harris (M. Clark)
L. McCormick (E. Mitchell) ⚽
77'
M. Matthews Lewis ⚽
81'
J. Morris (D. Hadley-Allen) ⚽
90'
90+3'
🟨 J. Hugill
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Fylde stronger
Fylde rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Fylde stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fylde stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fylde stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Hartlepool have secured just a solitary victory in their last five away fixtures, whereas Fylde have recorded two wins alongside one draw from their last five home matches. At home, Fylde have found the net in four of their last five outings while keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that same period. Fylde rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Fylde won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 4 March 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Hartlepool's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Fylde's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Hartlepool's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Fylde stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Hartlepool losing run
3
Hartlepool points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Fylde
Fylde's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Fylde win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fylde win
Latest market chance 54.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
55.9% → 54.9%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.6% → 22.8%
+0.2 pts
Hartlepool win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.6% → 22.4%
+0.8 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FyldeHartlepool
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
19th
14
Games Played
14
1.64
Points/Game
1.07
1.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.43
8.0
Shots/Game
7.3
4.9
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Fylde at home (8 matches) vs Hartlepool away (9 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.67
1.88
Goals/Game
1.33
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.22
50%
Win Rate
22%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fylde
Home form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hartlepool
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fylde Wins
2
Draws
1
Hartlepool Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Fylde2 – 1Hartlepool
Hartlepool2 – 0Fylde
Fylde2 – 1Hartlepool
Hartlepool3 – 1Fylde
Hartlepool2 – 2Fylde
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fyldevs
Hartlepool
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 61.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?