Forest Green vs Harrogate Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The New Lawn
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.54
Draw
3.76
Away Win
2.57
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Forest Green
Harrogate
N. Kengni (T. Campbell) ⚽
7'
34'
🟨 A. Baptiste
K. Kelly (B. Ifeanyi) ⚽
45+1'
52'
⚽ L. Payne
57'
⚽ E. Taylor (J. Hmami)
78'
🟨 L. Cass
J. Berry 🟨
80'
87'
🟨 W. Burrell
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Harrogate stronger
Harrogate rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Harrogate stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Harrogate slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Harrogate have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Forest Green have recorded two victories and a draw in the same number of home fixtures. Forest Green have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have managed only two clean sheets during that identical sample period. Harrogate rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Harrogate won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 13 January 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Forest Green's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Forest Green's implied win probability has risen by 3.7 percentage points, while Harrogate's implied win probability has fallen by 3.7 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Harrogate stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Forest Green
Forest Green's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Forest Green win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Harrogate remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 37.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.3% → 37.0%
+3.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.9%
+0.1 pts
Harrogate win
Latest market chance 37.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
40.8% → 37.1%
−3.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forest Green
Draw
Harrogate
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Forest GreenHarrogate
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
2nd
13
Games Played
15
1.38
Points/Game
2.07
1.62
Goals/Game
2.13
1.69
Conceded/Game
1.40
9.8
Shots/Game
12.3
4.4
Shots on Target
7.3
Home vs Away Context
Forest Green at home (9 matches) vs Harrogate away (8 matches)
1.22
Points/Game
1.62
1.78
Goals/Game
1.38
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.62
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forest Green
Home form
W
L
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Harrogate
Away form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forest Green Wins
3
Draws
0
Harrogate Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Forest Green0 – 2Harrogate
Harrogate0 – 1Forest Green
Forest Green1 – 3Harrogate
Harrogate1 – 4Forest Green
Forest Green2 – 1Harrogate
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forest Greenvs
Harrogate
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.3%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?