Forest Green vs Eastleigh Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
The New Lawn
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.55
Draw
4.85
Away Win
4.78
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Forest Green
Eastleigh
15'
🟨 H. Sidwell
W. Grigg (K. Abrefa) ⚽
28'
S. Etaluku 🟨
61'
F. Mabete 🟨
65'
67'
🟨 T. Eweka
F. Mabete ⚽
76'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Forest Green stronger
Forest Green rate stronger in head-to-head; recent form is closely matched. The overall statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Eastleigh have recorded just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Forest Green have managed one win and a draw from their last five home fixtures. Forest Green have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same span. Forest Green rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Forest Green won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 28 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Eastleigh's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Forest Green's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points, while Eastleigh's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Forest Green losing run
3
Eastleigh points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Forest Green
Forest Green's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Forest Green win as more likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 60.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
59.4% → 60.5%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.5% → 21.3%
−0.2 pts
Eastleigh win
Latest market chance 18.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.2% → 18.1%
−1.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forest Green
Draw
Eastleigh
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Forest Green
Eastleigh
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
15th
12
Games Played
14
1.25
Points/Game
1.29
1.58
Goals/Game
1.29
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.57
9.8
Shots/Game
6.3
4.4
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Forest Green at home (9 matches) vs Eastleigh away (8 matches)
1.22
Points/Game
0.50
1.78
Goals/Game
0.62
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.75
33%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forest Green
Home form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Eastleigh
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forest Green Wins
4
Draws
1
Eastleigh Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-03-282025-2026
Eastleigh2 – 4Forest Green
2025-08-252025-2026
Forest Green1 – 0Eastleigh
2025-02-082024-2025
Forest Green2 – 1Eastleigh
2024-10-052024-2025
Eastleigh1 – 3Forest Green
2017-01-102016-2017
Eastleigh1 – 1Forest Green
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forest Green
vs
Eastleigh
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
41.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.9%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 62.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…