Eastleigh vs Boston Utd Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Silverlake Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.73
Away Win
3.05
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Eastleigh
Boston Utd
A. Blair ⚽
22'
27'
⚽ (P) L. N. John-Lewis
A. Blair (I. Bakare) ⚽
29'
31'
⚽ J. Rooney
50'
🟨 L. Wheeldon
A. Koiki 🟨
56'
D. Rankine (T. Dobson-Ventura) ⚽
60'
87'
🟨 J. Rooney
A. Blair (M. Dickov) ⚽
90+4'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Eastleigh stronger
Eastleigh rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Eastleigh stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eastleigh stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Eastleigh stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Boston Utd have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Eastleigh have secured a single win in their last five home outings. Eastleigh have scored in all of their last five home matches but have managed only one clean sheet during that same period. Eastleigh rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Eastleigh won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 4 encounters to Boston Utd's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Eastleigh stronger overall.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eastleigh win
Latest market chance 42.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.1% → 42.8%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.0%
±0.0 pts
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 31.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.9% → 31.2%
−0.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
14 snapshots
+2.5+1.250−1.25Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eastleigh
Draw
Boston Utd
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Eastleigh
Boston Utd
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
21st
13
Games Played
13
1.15
Points/Game
0.92
1.08
Goals/Game
1.15
1.54
Conceded/Game
1.77
6.3
Shots/Game
10.3
2.8
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Eastleigh at home (8 matches) vs Boston Utd away (7 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.14
1.75
Goals/Game
1.57
1.38
Conceded/Game
2.29
50%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eastleigh
Home form
D
D
W
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Boston Utd
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eastleigh Wins
3
Draws
1
Boston Utd Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.5
2026-01-032025-2026
Boston Utd1 – 2Eastleigh
2025-08-232025-2026
Eastleigh2 – 0Boston Utd
2025-02-222024-2025
Boston Utd1 – 2Eastleigh
2024-10-262024-2025
Eastleigh1 – 1Boston Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eastleigh
vs
Boston Utd
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
57.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
36.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 57.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 59.7%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
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