Carlisle vs Kidderminster Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Brunton Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.50
Draw
4.52
Away Win
5.96
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Carlisle
Kidderminster
83'
🟨 R. Faakye
85'
🟨 R. Devine
M. Feeney 🟨
88'
89'
🟨 C. Harries
R. Linney (R. Linney) •
90+1'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carlisle edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Kidderminster have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Carlisle have secured two victories and two draws in their last five home fixtures. Carlisle have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Carlisle rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2004. Over the 6-day comparison window, Carlisle's implied win probability has risen by 2.9 percentage points, while Kidderminster's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Carlisle
Carlisle's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Carlisle win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 61.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
58.9% → 61.8%
+2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.4% → 21.6%
−0.8 pts
Kidderminster win
Latest market chance 16.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.8% → 16.6%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Carlisle
Draw
Kidderminster
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarlisleKidderminster
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
8th
12
Games Played
12
1.33
Points/Game
1.58
1.92
Goals/Game
1.25
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.2
Shots/Game
6.7
6.3
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Carlisle at home (8 matches) vs Kidderminster away (8 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.12
2.25
Goals/Game
1.12
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
38%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carlisle
Home form
W
W
D
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kidderminster
Away form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carlisle Wins
2
Draws
2
Kidderminster Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Carlisle1 – 0Kidderminster
Kidderminster2 – 1Carlisle
Carlisle2 – 2Kidderminster
Kidderminster1 – 2Carlisle
Kidderminster2 – 2Carlisle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carlislevs
Kidderminster
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 59.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 55.1%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?