Boston Utd vs Southend Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Jakemans Community Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.88
Draw
4.15
Away Win
1.79
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Boston Utd
Southend
O. Bostock (C. McBride) ⚽
1'
16'
⚽ P. Omochere (J. Popoola)
47'
🟨 D. Oldaker
52'
🟨 D. Cox
C. Teale 🟨
65'
90+4'
⚽ S. Kamara (K. McAdam)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Southend stronger
Southend rate stronger in recent form; Boston Utd edge head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boston Utd slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Southend have enjoyed a solid run away from home with two victories and three draws in their last five outings, while Boston Utd sit at the opposite end of the spectrum domestically with just one win and a single draw across their last five matches. Boston Utd have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have managed only one clean sheet during that same recent period. Southend rate stronger on form, while Boston Utd hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.25 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Boston Utd's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points, while Southend's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Southend stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Southend
Southend's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Southend win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 24.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 24.5%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.3%
−0.6 pts
Southend win
Latest market chance 52.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
50.9% → 52.2%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boston Utd
Draw
Southend
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boston UtdSouthend
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
3rd
12
Games Played
12
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.17
Goals/Game
2.42
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.3
Shots/Game
11.4
6.0
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Boston Utd at home (9 matches) vs Southend away (9 matches)
1.11
Points/Game
1.78
1.11
Goals/Game
2.56
1.44
Conceded/Game
1.56
33%
Win Rate
44%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boston Utd
Home form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Southend
Away form
W
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boston Utd Wins
1
Draws
2
Southend Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Boston Utd3 – 3Southend
Southend1 – 1Boston Utd
Boston Utd3 – 0Southend
Southend2 – 0Boston Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boston Utdvs
Southend
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.50
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 65.6%+5.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 65.3%+3.8 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?