Boston Utd vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Jakemans Community Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.60
Draw
3.83
Away Win
5.68
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Boston Utd
Gateshead
36'
⚽ J. Hiwula (H. Chapman)
K. Aboh 🟨
42'
L. Wheeldon 🟨
47'
63'
🟨 M. Spellman
T. Cursons ⚽
79'
90+2'
🟨 A. Lankshear
T. Cursons (J. Rooney) ⚽
90+5'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boston Utd stronger
Boston Utd rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boston Utd stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boston Utd stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boston Utd stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Gateshead arrive at Boston Utd having suffered five consecutive defeats away from home, while the hosts have managed just one draw in their last five outings at this venue. Boston Utd have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that same period. Boston Utd rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Boston Utd won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 10 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 4 encounters to Gateshead's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Boston Utd's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points, while Gateshead's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Boston Utd stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Gateshead losing run
0
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Boston Utd
Boston Utd's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Boston Utd win as less likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 58.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
61.6% → 58.7%
−2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.7% → 22.8%
+1.1 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 18.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
16.7% → 18.5%
+1.8 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boston UtdGateshead
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
24th
14
Games Played
13
0.86
Points/Game
0.31
1.21
Goals/Game
0.62
1.93
Conceded/Game
2.38
10.3
Shots/Game
6.1
6.0
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Boston Utd at home (9 matches) vs Gateshead away (9 matches)
1.11
Points/Game
0.00
1.11
Goals/Game
0.44
1.44
Conceded/Game
2.56
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boston Utd
Home form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boston Utd Wins
3
Draws
0
Gateshead Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Boston Utd1 – 0Gateshead
Gateshead1 – 3Boston Utd
Boston Utd2 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead2 – 0Boston Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boston Utdvs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.50
2.40
Goals conceded / game
2.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 58.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.4%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?