Altrincham vs Carlisle Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Moss Lane
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.79
Draw
3.76
Away Win
2.35
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 4
Match Events ?
Altrincham
Carlisle
L. Weaver ⚽
5'
J. Hinchy 🟨
34'
45'
⚽ C. Whelan (D. Ajiboye)
61'
⚽ C. Camps
L. Weaver (T. Crawford) ⚽
76'
77'
🟨 A. Desbois
L. Weaver 🟨
77'
81'
🟨 K. Richardson
84'
⚽ M. Obiero (B. Nicholson)
86'
🟨 B. Nicholson
90+7'
⚽ J. Lowes (R. Galvin)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Altrincham edge recent form, Carlisle edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Altrincham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Carlisle have managed three wins from their last five away outings, whereas Altrincham remain unbeaten in four victories and a single draw during their home fixtures over the same span. Altrincham have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets within that identical sample period. Altrincham rate stronger on form, while Carlisle rate stronger on head-to-head. Carlisle won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 31 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Altrincham's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Altrincham's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points, while Carlisle's implied win probability has fallen by 3.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Altrincham unbeaten run
13
Altrincham points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Carlisle
Carlisle's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Carlisle win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Altrincham win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
29.1% → 32.5%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.6%
+0.3 pts
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 41.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
45.6% → 41.8%
−3.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Altrincham
Draw
Carlisle
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AltrinchamCarlisle
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
9th
15
Games Played
15
1.87
Points/Game
1.53
1.47
Goals/Game
1.87
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.40
6.7
Shots/Game
12.2
3.6
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Altrincham at home (8 matches) vs Carlisle away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
1.88
Goals/Game
1.75
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.12
62%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Altrincham
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Carlisle
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Altrincham Wins
0
Draws
0
Carlisle Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.5
Carlisle3 – 1Altrincham
Altrincham1 – 2Carlisle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Altrinchamvs
Carlisle
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 59.1%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.3%→Latest 62.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?