Aldershot vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.57
Draw
4.31
Away Win
5.38
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Aldershot
Gateshead
B. Peart ⚽
5'
39'
🟨 A. Lankshear
43'
🟨 S. Bowen
T. Dyce 🟨
60'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Aldershot stronger
Aldershot rate stronger in recent form; Gateshead edge head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Aldershot stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aldershot stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gateshead slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Gateshead arrive at this National League fixture carrying a poor run of results, having lost all five of their last five away outings, while Aldershot have secured two victories and one draw from their corresponding five home matches. At home, the hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that same period. Aldershot rate stronger on form, while Gateshead hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Gateshead won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Aldershot's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Aldershot's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Gateshead's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Aldershot stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Gateshead losing run
0
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Aldershot
Aldershot's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Aldershot win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aldershot win
Latest market chance 60.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
60.9% → 60.0%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 22.1%
+0.3 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 17.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.3% → 17.9%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aldershot
Draw
Gateshead
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AldershotGateshead
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
24th
15
Games Played
14
1.20
Points/Game
0.29
1.20
Goals/Game
0.64
1.27
Conceded/Game
2.36
8.7
Shots/Game
6.1
4.2
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Aldershot at home (8 matches) vs Gateshead away (9 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.00
1.50
Goals/Game
0.44
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.56
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aldershot
Home form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aldershot Wins
2
Draws
2
Gateshead Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Aldershot0 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead3 – 3Aldershot
Aldershot3 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead2 – 2Aldershot
Gateshead0 – 1Aldershot
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aldershotvs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 59.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 57.1%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?