Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
BC Place
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
4.35
Away Win
4.50
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Brian White (Bruno Caicedo) ⚽
1'
Ryan Gauld (Édier Ocampo) ⚽
9'
Mathías Laborda (Ryan Gauld) ⚽
43'
Bruno Caicedo 🟨
45+2'
45+3'
🟨 Jesús Ferreira
Brian White (Bruno Caicedo) ⚽
53'
62'
⚽ Jordan Morris (Albert Rusnák)
Aleksa Cvetkovic (Cheikh Sabaly) ⚽
69'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
18
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Goal
5
1
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo
M. Laborda
T. Blackmon
T. Johnson
A. Cvetković
O. Larraz
Y. Diaby
R. Gauld
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
B. White
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan
J. Ragen
N. Tolo
S. Brunell
C. Roldan
J. Ferreira
A. Rusnák
J. Morris
D. Joveljić
Player Ratings ?
Vancouver Whitecaps
B. WhiteF9.4
R. GauldM9.0
Bruno Steven Caicedo QuiñonezM8.2
Seattle Sounders
A. RusnákM7.5
J. MorrisM7.0
P. ArriolaF7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vancouver Whitecaps edge attack and head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Vancouver Whitecaps slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Seattle Sounders have recorded just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Vancouver Whitecaps have secured two victories in their last five home outings. Vancouver Whitecaps have scored in all of their last five home matches but have kept only a single clean sheet during that same period. Both squads carry significant injury concerns, with Vancouver Whitecaps having five confirmed absences and two doubts, while Seattle Sounders face three confirmed outsidess and two players in doubt. Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while form and defence are closely matched. Vancouver Whitecaps won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Seattle Sounders's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vancouver Whitecaps win
Latest market chance 58.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.7% → 58.2%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.4% → 22.1%
+0.7 pts
Seattle Sounders win
Latest market chance 19.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 19.8%
−0.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw
Seattle Sounders
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
17th
32
Games Played
32
1.81
Points/Game
1.34
2.09
Goals/Game
1.28
1.03
Conceded/Game
1.25
16.5
Shots/Game
13.6
6.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Vancouver Whitecaps at home (17 matches) vs Seattle Sounders away (17 matches)
2.06
Points/Game
1.06
2.59
Goals/Game
1.06
0.94
Conceded/Game
1.35
65%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
Home form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Seattle Sounders
Away form
D
D
W
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
2
Draws
2
Seattle Sounders Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-08-172026
Seattle Sounders0 – 2Vancouver Whitecaps
2025-09-282025
Seattle Sounders2 – 2Vancouver Whitecaps
2025-06-092025
Vancouver Whitecaps3 – 0Seattle Sounders
2024-10-032024
Vancouver Whitecaps0 – 3Seattle Sounders
2024-05-192024
Seattle Sounders1 – 1Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vancouver Whitecaps
vs
Seattle Sounders
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 62.9%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 61.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Vancouver Whitecaps's 10 matches and 6 of Seattle Sounders's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…