Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BC Place
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.43
Draw
5.29
Away Win
5.90
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
2'
🟨 Manu Duah
Aleksa Cvetkovic (Mathías Laborda) ⚽
24'
Brian White (Oliver Love Larraz) ⚽
41'
55'
🟨 Jeppe Tverskov
Ryan Gauld (Rayan Elloumi) ⚽
66'
Bruno Caicedo (Ralph Priso) ⚽
76'
Tate Johnson 🟨
82'
83'
⚽ Onni Valakari (David Vazquez)
Rayan Elloumi 🟨
90+1'
Rayan Elloumi 🟥
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
16
Total Shots
20
10
Shots on Goal
7
8
Corner Kicks
3
19
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-4-2)
Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo
M. Laborda
T. Blackmon
T. Johnson
R. Gauld
A. Cvetković
O. Larraz
Y. Diaby
R. Elloumi
B. White
San Diego (4-3-3)
P. Sisniega
O. Verhoeven
C. McVey
M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant
J. Tverskov
A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani
A. Dreyer
C. Bakambu
A. Pellegrino
Player Ratings ?
Vancouver Whitecaps
R. GauldM8.2
B. WhiteF8.1
A. CvetkovićM7.9
San Diego
P. SisniegaG7.3
B. B. ZambleF7.0
O. ValakariM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vancouver Whitecaps edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, San Diego edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Attack
San Diego slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps have recorded two victories and a draw from their last five home outings, while San Diego have drawn three times and suffered two defeats in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have kept a clean sheet only twice during that same span. Vancouver face two confirmed absences and four players listed as doubtful, whereas San Diego have no confirmed outsidess but carry two doubts in their squad. Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while San Diego hold a slight advantage in attack. Vancouver Whitecaps won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 24 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 3 encounters to San Diego's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.33 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
San Diego losing run
3
San Diego points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vancouver Whitecaps win
Latest market chance 66.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
65.8% → 66.2%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.5% → 17.8%
−0.7 pts
San Diego win
Latest market chance 15.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.7% → 15.9%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw
San Diego
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Vancouver WhitecapsSan Diego
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
24th
31
Games Played
31
1.77
Points/Game
1.13
2.03
Goals/Game
1.77
1.03
Conceded/Game
1.87
16.5
Shots/Game
12.6
6.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Vancouver Whitecaps at home (17 matches) vs San Diego away (17 matches)
2.06
Points/Game
0.88
2.59
Goals/Game
1.18
0.94
Conceded/Game
1.94
65%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
Home form
W
L
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
San Diego
Away form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
1
Draws
1
San Diego Wins
1
Avg Goals
5.3
San Diego2 – 4Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego1 – 1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps3 – 5San Diego
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
San Diego
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.7%→Latest 71.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 64.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Vancouver Whitecaps's 10 matches and 4 of San Diego's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?