St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Citypark
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.23
Draw
3.91
Away Win
2.89
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
Fallou Fall 🟨
45+1'
45+2'
🟨 Édier Ocampo
81'
🟨 Ralph Priso
Alexandru Măţan 🟨
85'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
7
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
0
6
Corner Kicks
10
17
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
R. Bürki
D. Polvara
T. Baumgartl
F. Fall
C. Wallem
C. Durkin
D. Edelman
T. Totland
C. Holse
Rafael Navarro
A. Mățan
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo
M. Laborda
R. Priso
T. Johnson
O. Larraz
A. Cubas
E. Sabbi
R. Gauld
Y. Diaby
B. White
Player Ratings ?
St. Louis City
R. BürkiG7.0
D. PolvaraD6.9
T. BaumgartlD6.9
Vancouver Whitecaps
Y. TakaokaG7.8
T. JohnsonD7.1
A. CubasM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St. Louis City edge recent form and attack, Vancouver Whitecaps edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Louis City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Louis City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps have recorded three wins and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while St. Louis City boast four victories without defeat in their home outings over the same span. The hosts have found the net in five of their last five matches at this venue but have yet to keep a clean sheet during that period. St. Louis City face one confirmed absence and one player listed as doubtful, whereas Vancouver Whitecaps are dealing with five confirmed absences ahead of the clash. St. Louis City rate stronger on form and attack, while Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. St. Louis City won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 6 September 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Vancouver Whitecaps's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, St. Louis City's implied win probability has risen by 6.5 percentage points, while Vancouver Whitecaps's implied win probability has fallen by 6.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
St. Louis City unbeaten run
13
St. Louis City points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards St. Louis City
St. Louis City's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St. Louis City win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St. Louis City win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
34.0% → 41.9%
+7.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 24.8%
−0.4 pts
Vancouver Whitecaps win
Latest market chance 33.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
40.7% → 33.3%
−7.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St. Louis City
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St. Louis CityVancouver Whitecaps
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
2nd
28
Games Played
28
1.79
Points/Game
1.82
1.93
Goals/Game
2.18
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.07
13.3
Shots/Game
16.5
4.9
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
St. Louis City at home (17 matches) vs Vancouver Whitecaps away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
1.71
2.12
Goals/Game
1.76
1.35
Conceded/Game
1.06
53%
Win Rate
47%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St. Louis City
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
3.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vancouver Whitecaps
Away form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St. Louis City Wins
1
Draws
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.2
Vancouver Whitecaps1 – 3St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps3 – 2St. Louis City
St. Louis City0 – 0Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City1 – 4Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps4 – 3St. Louis City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St. Louis Cityvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Recent Scoring Profile
3.00
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.7%→Latest 63.2%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 64.5%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of St. Louis City's 10 matches and 2 of Vancouver Whitecaps's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?