Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Children's Mercy Park
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.89
Draw
3.88
Away Win
2.24
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
11'
⚽ Morgan Guilavogui (Noel Caliskan)
14'
⚽ Sergi Solans
Taylor Calheira (André Luiz) ⚽
26'
45+1'
🟨 Luc De Fougerolles
61'
⚽ Morgan Guilavogui (Noel Caliskan)
72'
🟨 Juan Sanabria
Calvin Harris 🟨
74'
Jacob Bartlett 🟨
76'
90+1'
🟨 Chadwick Zachary Booth
90+1'
🟨 Stijn Spierings
Jansen Miller 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
8
7
Corner Kicks
5
14
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
S. Cleveland
J. Bartlett
Jansen Miller
Wyatt Meyer
E. Karić
André Luiz
K. Agyabeng
Z. Bassong
C. Harris
T. Calheira
S. Afrifa
Real Salt Lake (5-4-1)
Rafael Cabral
D. Marczuk
K. Henry
L. De Fougerolles
P. Quinton
J. Sanabria
M. Guilavogui
S. Spierings
N. Caliskan
S. Lobzhanidze
S. Solans
Player Ratings ?
Sporting Kansas City
T. CalheiraF7.6
S. ClevelandG7.0
Z. BassongM6.8
Real Salt Lake
M. GuilavoguiM9.1
N. CaliskanM8.6
S. SolansF8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sporting Kansas City edge recent form and attack, Real Salt Lake edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sporting Kansas City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Real Salt Lake stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Real Salt Lake stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Real Salt Lake arrive at this fixture with a dismal away record of five straight losses in their last five outings, while Sporting Kansas City have shown more resilience at home with just two defeats during the same span. Sporting Kansas City have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that entire sample. Concerns loom for Sporting Kansas City with five players confirmed out and one in doubt, whereas Real Salt Lake face an even steeper challenge with five unavailable and two doubtful for their side. Sporting Kansas City rate stronger on form and attack, while Real Salt Lake rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Real Salt Lake won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 4 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Sporting Kansas City's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Sporting Kansas City losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Real Salt Lake points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sporting Kansas City win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.4% → 33.7%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.7%
+0.2 pts
Real Salt Lake win
Latest market chance 41.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.1% → 41.6%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Real Salt Lake
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake

Season Profile
This season
30th
League Position
23rd
29
Games Played
29
0.76
Points/Game
1.14
1.21
Goals/Game
1.45
2.48
Conceded/Game
1.62
11.1
Shots/Game
14.5
4.2
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Sporting Kansas City at home (17 matches) vs Real Salt Lake away (17 matches)
0.82
Points/Game
0.71
1.41
Goals/Game
1.18
2.06
Conceded/Game
1.76
18%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Sporting Kansas City
Home form
D
L
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Real Salt Lake
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sporting Kansas City Wins
0
Draws
1
Real Salt Lake Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.4
Real Salt Lake3 – 1Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake2 – 1Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City1 – 1Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City3 – 4Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake1 – 0Sporting Kansas City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Real Salt Lake

Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.5%→Latest 65.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.7%→Latest 66.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Sporting Kansas City's 10 matches and 2 of Real Salt Lake's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?