Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Children's Mercy Park
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
4.24
Away Win
2.61
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
10'
⚽ David Da Costa (Ariel Lassiter)
12'
🟨 Vincent Janssen
45+4'
⚽ (P) Vincent Janssen
André Luiz •
45+7'
André Luiz ⚽
45+7'
64'
⚽ Ariel Lassiter (Jímer Fory)
Justin Reynolds (Taylor Calheira) ⚽
70'
André Luiz (Seymour Garfield-Reid) ⚽
72'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
1
17
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
S. Cleveland
J. Reynolds
Jansen Miller
Wyatt Meyer
E. Karić
André Luiz
Z. Bassong
K. Agyabeng
C. Harris
T. Calheira
S. Afrifa
Portland Timbers (4-3-3)
J. Pantemis
R. Hernández
J. Waterman
K. Miller
J. Fory
J. Ortiz
D. Chará
David Pereira da Costa
A. Lassiter
V. Janssen
K. Velde
Player Ratings ?
Sporting Kansas City
André LuizM8.3
T. CalheiraF7.3
J. ReynoldsD7.1
Portland Timbers
A. LassiterF8.4
David Pereira da CostaM8.0
V. JanssenF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sporting Kansas City edge attack, Portland Timbers edge recent form and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Portland Timbers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sporting Kansas City slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Portland Timbers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides have struggled in their last five outings, with Sporting Kansas City recording just one win at home and Portland Timbers managing a solitary away victory alongside a draw. Sporting Kansas City have scored in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Sporting Kansas City face one certain absence and six doubts, while Portland Timbers have four confirmed out and three players in doubt ahead of the fixture. Portland Timbers rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Sporting Kansas City hold a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Portland Timbers won the most recent meeting 6-0 on 10 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Sporting Kansas City's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sporting Kansas City win
Latest market chance 40.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.9% → 40.3%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.8% → 23.7%
−0.1 pts
Portland Timbers win
Latest market chance 36.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.3% → 36.0%
−0.3 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers
Season Profile
This season
30th
League Position
21st
27
Games Played
27
0.78
Points/Game
1.19
1.19
Goals/Game
1.78
2.41
Conceded/Game
1.89
11.1
Shots/Game
13.6
4.2
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Sporting Kansas City at home (17 matches) vs Portland Timbers away (17 matches)
0.82
Points/Game
0.88
1.41
Goals/Game
1.47
2.06
Conceded/Game
1.94
18%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sporting Kansas City
Home form
L
D
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Portland Timbers
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sporting Kansas City Wins
0
Draws
1
Portland Timbers Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.4
Portland Timbers6 – 0Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers1 – 0Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City2 – 4Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers2 – 1Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City3 – 3Portland Timbers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Portland Timbers
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.5%→Latest 69.9%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.3%→Latest 69.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Sporting Kansas City's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?