Sporting Kansas City vs Austin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Children's Mercy Park
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.22
Draw
3.96
Away Win
2.88
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Kwaku Agyabeng 🟨
21'
37'
🟨 Mikkel Desler
Jacob Davis 🟨
37'
Stephen Afrifa 🟨
46'
51'
🟨 Ilie Sánchez
Zorhan Bassong 🟨
52'
Stephen Afrifa (André Luiz) ⚽
55'
64'
⚽ Myrto Uzuni
86'
⚽ Myrto Uzuni
Owen Wolff 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
19
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
11
5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
S. Cleveland
J. Davis
Jansen Miller
Wyatt Meyer
E. Karić
André Luiz
K. Agyabeng
Z. Bassong
Capita
T. Calheira
S. Afrifa
Austin (3-4-3)
D. Las
M. Desler
Ilie Sánchez
Guilherme Biro
J. Rosales
Ervin Torres
Jorge Alastuey
J. Gallagher
M. Uzuni
B. Vázquez
F. Torres
Player Ratings ?
Sporting Kansas City
S. AfrifaF7.4
E. KarićD7.4
S. ClevelandG7.0
Austin
M. UzuniF9.1
Guilherme BiroD7.0
J. GallagherM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sporting Kansas City edge attack, Austin edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Austin stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sporting Kansas City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Austin stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Austin slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Austin have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Sporting Kansas City have suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. Sporting Kansas City have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Sporting Kansas City face significant selection issues with four players out and two listed as doubtful, whereas Austin remain largely intact aside from one player in doubt. Austin rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Sporting Kansas City rate stronger on attack. Sporting Kansas City won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Austin's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Sporting Kansas City's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points, while Austin's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Sporting Kansas City losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Austin
Austin's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Austin win as more likely than it did 7 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Sporting Kansas City remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sporting Kansas City win
Latest market chance 43.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.9% → 43.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.2%
−0.3 pts
Austin win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
31.6% → 32.5%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Austin
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityAustin
Season Profile
This season
30th
League Position
27th
30
Games Played
30
0.73
Points/Game
1.03
1.20
Goals/Game
1.27
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.87
11.1
Shots/Game
11.1
4.2
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Sporting Kansas City at home (17 matches) vs Austin away (17 matches)
0.82
Points/Game
0.94
1.41
Goals/Game
1.18
2.06
Conceded/Game
2.35
18%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sporting Kansas City
Home form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Austin
Away form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sporting Kansas City Wins
2
Draws
0
Austin Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Austin1 – 2Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City1 – 2Austin
Austin1 – 0Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City2 – 0Austin
Austin3 – 2Sporting Kansas City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Austin
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 64.6%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.9%→Latest 65.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Sporting Kansas City's 10 matches and 3 of Austin's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?