Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Lumen Field
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.77
Draw
4.03
Away Win
4.15
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
26'
⚽ Lucas Halter (Mateusz Bogusz)
Peter Kingston 🟨
65'
87'
🟨 Agustin Resch
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
21
Total Shots
2
5
Shots on Goal
1
10
Corner Kicks
1
15
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan
J. Ragen
N. Tolo
H. Dotson
C. Roldan
J. Ferreira
A. Rusnák
S. Gomez
D. Joveljić
Houston Dynamo (4-2-3-1)
J. Bond
L. Ennali
Lucas Halter
A. Resch
F. Negri
D. Samassékou
Artur
A. Ibrahim
A. Bouzat
M. Bogusz
L. Foster
Player Ratings ?
Seattle Sounders
A. RusnákM7.2
C. RoldanM7.2
J. FerreiraM7.1
Houston Dynamo
J. BondG7.8
Lucas HalterD7.4
M. BoguszM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Seattle Sounders a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Seattle Sounders have enjoyed an impressive unbeaten run in their last five home outings, securing three wins and two draws, while Houston Dynamo have struggled on the road with just one draw from their last five away matches. The Sounders have found the net in four of their last five home games but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only two of those same matches. Seattle Sounders face potential disruption with four players confirmed out and one doubtful, whereas Houston Dynamo have just one player unavailable and another under doubt. Seattle Sounders rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Seattle Sounders won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 5 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Houston Dynamo's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Seattle Sounders's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Houston Dynamo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Seattle Sounders a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Seattle Sounders losing run
3
Houston Dynamo points from last 5 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Seattle Sounders win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Seattle Sounders win
Latest market chance 52.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.5% → 52.4%
+1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.8% → 24.0%
−0.8 pts
Houston Dynamo win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.7% → 23.6%
−1.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+2+10−1Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Houston Dynamo
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
10th
31
Games Played
31
1.39
Points/Game
1.55
1.32
Goals/Game
1.32
1.26
Conceded/Game
1.26
13.6
Shots/Game
12.8
5.0
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Seattle Sounders at home (17 matches) vs Houston Dynamo away (17 matches)
1.65
Points/Game
1.29
1.53
Goals/Game
1.41
1.35
Conceded/Game
1.65
47%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Seattle Sounders
Home form
D
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Houston Dynamo
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Seattle Sounders Wins
3
Draws
2
Houston Dynamo Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-04-052026
Houston Dynamo0 – 1Seattle Sounders
2025-05-112025
Houston Dynamo1 – 3Seattle Sounders
2025-03-232025
Seattle Sounders0 – 0Houston Dynamo
2024-09-292024
Seattle Sounders1 – 0Houston Dynamo
2024-06-202024
Houston Dynamo2 – 2Seattle Sounders
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Seattle Sounders
vs
Houston Dynamo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
57.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
36.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.7%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 58.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Seattle Sounders's 10 matches and 4 of Houston Dynamo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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