Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Lumen Field
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.39
Draw
5.10
Away Win
6.96
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Seattle Sounders
CF Montreal
13'
⚽ Gennadiy Synchuk (Noah Streit)
Hassani Dotson 🟨
14'
33'
🟨 Alexis Sanchez
52'
🟨 Victor Loturi
Sebastian Gomez ⚽
66'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
18
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
A. Thomas
A. Roldan
Y. Gómez
R. Sailor
N. Tolo
H. Dotson
C. Roldan
C. Clark
A. Rusnák
J. Morris
D. Joveljić
CF Montreal (4-2-3-1)
S. Breza
J. Neal
E. Morales
B. Craig
V. Radojević
S. Piette
V. Loturi
H. Synchuk
F. Herbers
N. Streit
A. Sánchez
Player Ratings ?
Seattle Sounders
S. GomezM7.9
J. FerreiraF7.2
C. RoldanM7.2
CF Montreal
H. SynchukM7.8
N. StreitM7.7
S. BrezaG7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; CF Montreal edge head-to-head, giving Seattle Sounders a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
CF Montreal stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Seattle Sounders arrive at home with an unbeaten record from their last five outings, while CF Montreal have managed just a solitary win in their last five away fixtures. The Sounders have scored in four of their last five home matches but have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Both sides face similar availability concerns, with three players unavailable for each squad ahead of kickoff. Seattle Sounders rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while CF Montreal rate stronger on head-to-head. Seattle Sounders won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 7 April 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to CF Montreal's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Seattle Sounders's implied win probability has risen by 4.8 percentage points, while CF Montreal's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Seattle Sounders a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Seattle Sounders losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
CF Montreal points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Seattle Sounders win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Seattle Sounders win
Latest market chance 66.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
61.2% → 66.0%
+4.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.7% → 19.2%
−1.5 pts
CF Montreal win
Latest market chance 14.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
18.1% → 14.7%
−3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Seattle Sounders
Draw
CF Montreal
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Seattle SoundersCF Montreal
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
29th
29
Games Played
29
1.41
Points/Game
0.83
1.31
Goals/Game
1.21
1.24
Conceded/Game
2.03
13.6
Shots/Game
12.4
5.0
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Seattle Sounders at home (17 matches) vs CF Montreal away (17 matches)
1.65
Points/Game
0.53
1.53
Goals/Game
1.06
1.35
Conceded/Game
2.59
47%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Seattle Sounders
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
CF Montreal
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Seattle Sounders Wins
1
Draws
1
CF Montreal Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Seattle Sounders5 – 0CF Montreal
Seattle Sounders1 – 2CF Montreal
CF Montreal2 – 1Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders0 – 1CF Montreal
CF Montreal2 – 2Seattle Sounders
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Seattle Soundersvs
CF Montreal
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 64.1%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 57.6%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Seattle Sounders's 10 matches and 2 of CF Montreal's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?