San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Avaya Stadium
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.71
Away Win
3.20
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
Reid Roberts (Timo Werner) ⚽
15'
22'
🟨 Joshua Atencio
26'
⚽ Morgan Whittaker (Wayne Frederick)
50'
🟨 Donavan Phillip
62'
🟨 Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés
65'
🟨 Georgi Minoungou
Timo Werner 🟥
71'
73'
⚽ Darren Yapi (Georgi Minoungou)
75'
🟥 Kosi Thompson
Preston Judd 🟨
82'
Jack Jasinski (N.Tsakiris) ⚽
83'
90+1'
🟨 Sayed Abu Farkhi
Ousseni Bouda 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
17
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
3
11
Corner Kicks
5
20
Fouls
20
2
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes (3-4-2-1)
A. Gunn
D. Munie
R. Roberts
Vítor Costa
Jack Jasinski
R. Vieira
E. Löwen
Beau Leroux
O. Bouda
T. Werner
P. Judd
Colorado Rapids (4-2-3-1)
N. Defreitas
K. Thompson
R. Holding
Loïc Williams
M. Navarro
W. Frederick II
J. Atencio
G. Minoungou
M. Whittaker
P. Aaronson
D. Phillip
Player Ratings ?
San Jose Earthquakes
R. RobertsD7.4
N. TsakirisM7.2
Jack JasinskiM7.0
Colorado Rapids
M. WhittakerM8.1
N. DefreitasG7.8
D. YapiF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. San Jose Earthquakes edge head-to-head, recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
San Jose Earthquakes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
The Colorado Rapids have struggled on the road with just two draws and three losses in their last five away matches, while hosts San Jose Earthquakes look more secure at home with two wins and two draws from their recent five outings. San Jose have found the net in all five of their home matches so far but have only kept one clean sheet during that same run, suggesting a defence that is often tested before scoring themselves. Both sides carry significant injury concerns ahead of this MLS fixture, with San Jose Earthquakes listing two confirmed out and three doubtful players while Colorado Rapids have two confirmed out and five doubtful players in their squads. San Jose Earthquakes rate stronger on head-to-head, while form, attack and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
San Jose Earthquakes unbeaten run
2
Colorado Rapids points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
San Jose Earthquakes win
Latest market chance 44.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.0% → 44.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.4%
+0.1 pts
Colorado Rapids win
Latest market chance 30.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.7% → 30.5%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
San Jose Earthquakes
Draw
Colorado Rapids
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
15th
31
Games Played
31
1.55
Points/Game
1.35
1.68
Goals/Game
1.35
1.45
Conceded/Game
1.32
13.3
Shots/Game
12.1
4.9
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
San Jose Earthquakes at home (17 matches) vs Colorado Rapids away (17 matches)
1.53
Points/Game
0.59
1.76
Goals/Game
0.94
1.53
Conceded/Game
1.82
41%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
San Jose Earthquakes
Home form
L
W
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Colorado Rapids
Away form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
San Jose Earthquakes Wins
2
Draws
1
Colorado Rapids Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-10-112026-2027
Colorado Rapids1 – 1San Jose Earthquakes
2025-05-112025
Colorado Rapids0 – 2San Jose Earthquakes
2025-03-162025
San Jose Earthquakes1 – 2Colorado Rapids
2024-05-122024
Colorado Rapids2 – 3San Jose Earthquakes
2024-04-142024
San Jose Earthquakes0 – 3Colorado Rapids
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
San Jose Earthquakes
vs
Colorado Rapids
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 59.9%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.4%→Latest 63.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of San Jose Earthquakes's 10 matches and 4 of Colorado Rapids's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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