San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Snapdragon Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.49
Draw
5.32
Away Win
5.31
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
Marcus Ingvartsen 🟨
57'
61'
🟨 Lasse Berg Johnsen
Manu Duah 🟨
67'
70'
🟨 Justin Reynolds
Christopher McVey 🟨
72'
76'
⚽ (P) André Luiz
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
16
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
6
8
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
San Diego (4-3-3)
P. Sisniega
D. Þórhallsson
C. McVey
M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant
A. Alvarado
P. Soma
O. Valakari
A. Dreyer
M. Ingvartsen
B. B. Zamble
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
S. Cleveland
J. Davis
Jansen Miller
Wyatt Meyer
E. Karić
André Luiz
L. Johnsen
O. Wolff
Capita
T. Calheira
S. Afrifa
Player Ratings ?
San Diego
P. SisniegaG7.7
B. B. ZambleF7.0
P. SomaM7.0
Sporting Kansas City
S. ClevelandG7.6
Jansen MillerD7.4
O. WolffM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. San Diego edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
San Diego stronger
HomeAway
Attack
San Diego stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
San Diego stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
San Diego look more stable at home with one win and two draws from their last five outings, while Sporting Kansas City have struggled on the road with just a solitary victory in that same span. San Diego have found the net in four of their last five home matches but remain without a single clean sheet during that identical recent run. San Diego rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. San Diego won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 3 encounters to Sporting Kansas City's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
San Diego losing run
3
Sporting Kansas City points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
San Diego win
Latest market chance 63.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
63.2% → 63.5%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.6% → 18.5%
−0.1 pts
Sporting Kansas City win
Latest market chance 17.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.2% → 17.9%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
San Diego
Draw
Sporting Kansas City
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
San DiegoSporting Kansas City
Season Profile
This season
25th
League Position
30th
33
Games Played
33
1.15
Points/Game
0.70
1.73
Goals/Game
1.18
1.88
Conceded/Game
2.45
12.6
Shots/Game
11.1
4.6
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
San Diego at home (17 matches) vs Sporting Kansas City away (17 matches)
1.35
Points/Game
0.71
2.18
Goals/Game
0.94
1.76
Conceded/Game
2.71
35%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
San Diego
Home form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sporting Kansas City
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
San Diego Wins
2
Draws
1
Sporting Kansas City Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.0
Sporting Kansas City0 – 1San Diego
Sporting Kansas City0 – 2San Diego
San Diego0 – 0Sporting Kansas City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
San Diegovs
Sporting Kansas City
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.80
Goals conceded / game
2.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 75.2%→Latest 76.2%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.8%→Latest 68.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of San Diego's 10 matches and 7 of Sporting Kansas City's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?