San Diego vs Seattle Sounders Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Snapdragon Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.19
Draw
3.91
Away Win
2.95
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
50'
⚽ Dejan Joveljić
53'
🟨 Dejan Joveljić
55'
⚽ Sebastian Gomez (Hassani Dotson)
59'
🟨 Alexander Roldan
Anders Dreyer •
60'
Cédric Bakambu ⚽
60'
Cédric Bakambu ⚽ (P)
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
San Diego (4-3-3)
P. Sisniega
O. Verhoeven
C. McVey
M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant
A. Alvarado
A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani
A. Dreyer
C. Bakambu
A. Pellegrino
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan
J. Ragen
N. Tolo
H. Dotson
C. Roldan
J. Ferreira
A. Rusnák
J. Morris
D. Joveljić
Player Ratings ?
San Diego
C. BakambuF8.2
Kieran SargeantD7.0
M. DuahD6.9
Seattle Sounders
D. JoveljićF7.6
S. GomezM7.6
H. DotsonM7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Seattle Sounders edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Seattle Sounders slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Seattle Sounders have recorded just one victory in their last five away outings, while San Diego sit on two wins from their last five home matches. San Diego have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. One player is unavailable for San Diego, whereas Seattle Sounders face a heavier challenge with three confirmed absences and two players listed as doubtful. Seattle Sounders rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 3 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 7-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 7 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
San Diego win
Latest market chance 43.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.4% → 43.3%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 24.2%
±0.0 pts
Seattle Sounders win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.4% → 32.5%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
San Diego
Draw
Seattle Sounders
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
San DiegoSeattle Sounders
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
13th
30
Games Played
30
1.13
Points/Game
1.40
1.77
Goals/Game
1.30
1.87
Conceded/Game
1.23
12.6
Shots/Game
13.6
4.6
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
San Diego at home (17 matches) vs Seattle Sounders away (17 matches)
1.35
Points/Game
1.06
2.18
Goals/Game
1.06
1.76
Conceded/Game
1.35
35%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
San Diego
Home form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Seattle Sounders
Away form
D
D
D
W
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
San Diego Wins
1
Draws
1
Seattle Sounders Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Seattle Sounders1 – 1San Diego
Seattle Sounders1 – 0San Diego
San Diego3 – 0Seattle Sounders
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
San Diegovs
Seattle Sounders
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.8%→Latest 67.0%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.6%→Latest 67.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of San Diego's 10 matches and 4 of Seattle Sounders's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?