Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Rio Tinto Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.92
Away Win
2.70
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
3'
🟨 Rafael Santos
29'
🟨 Tomas Ostrak
Philip Quinton 🟨
40'
Sergi Solans (Morgan Guilavogui) ⚽
41'
43'
🟥 Tomas Ostrak
Dominik Marczuk (Luc De Fougerolles) ⚽
52'
Sergi Solans (Saba Lobjanidze) ⚽
59'
Juan Sanabria 🟨
64'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
20
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
0
18
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Real Salt Lake (5-4-1)
Rafael Cabral
D. Marczuk
L. De Fougerolles
P. Quinton
K. Henry
J. Sanabria
S. Lobzhanidze
S. Spierings
N. Caliskan
M. Guilavogui
S. Solans
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
B. Lundt
J. Orozco
T. Baumgartl
F. Fall
C. Wallem
C. Brunet
C. Durkin
Rafael Santos
T. Ostrák
Rafael Navarro
S. Becher
Player Ratings ?
Real Salt Lake
S. SolansF8.9
D. MarczukD8.1
M. GuilavoguiM7.7
St. Louis City
C. DurkinM6.7
T. BaumgartlD6.4
D. DownsF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Real Salt Lake edge defence and head-to-head, St. Louis City edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Louis City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Louis City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Real Salt Lake slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Real Salt Lake stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St. Louis City have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Real Salt Lake have only managed a single victory in their last five home matches. Real Salt Lake have scored in three of their last five home games but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Real Salt Lake face two confirmed absences alongside four doubtful players, whereas St. Louis City have one certain absence and three others in doubt. St. Louis City rate stronger on form and attack, while Real Salt Lake rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 2 August 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Real Salt Lake's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while St. Louis City's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Real Salt Lake win as more likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Real Salt Lake win
Latest market chance 39.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.6% → 39.7%
+3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.1%
−0.3 pts
St. Louis City win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
38.0% → 35.2%
−2.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Real Salt Lake
Draw
St. Louis City
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
5th
30
Games Played
30
1.20
Points/Game
1.70
1.50
Goals/Game
1.87
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.37
14.5
Shots/Game
13.3
5.5
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Real Salt Lake at home (17 matches) vs St. Louis City away (17 matches)
1.94
Points/Game
1.35
1.94
Goals/Game
1.35
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.47
59%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Real Salt Lake
Home form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St. Louis City
Away form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Real Salt Lake Wins
2
Draws
3
St. Louis City Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
St. Louis City1 – 1Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City2 – 2Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake3 – 2St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake3 – 1St. Louis City
St. Louis City1 – 1Real Salt Lake
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Real Salt Lakevs
St. Louis City
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.3%→Latest 62.4%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.8%→Latest 64.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Real Salt Lake's 10 matches and 3 of St. Louis City's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?