Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Rio Tinto Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.72
Draw
4.38
Away Win
4.22
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sergi Solans (Noel Caliskan) ⚽
10'
Chadwick Zachary Booth ⚽
13'
Kobi Henry 🟨
16'
40'
⚽ (OG) Luc De Fougerolles
Juan Sanabria 🟨
45+3'
Luc De Fougerolles 🟨
55'
Sergi Solans 🟨
77'
87'
🟨 Carlos Emiro Garces Torres
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
20
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Goal
0
6
Corner Kicks
9
12
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Real Salt Lake (3-4-3)
Rafael Cabral
L. De Fougerolles
P. Quinton
K. Henry
Chadwick Zachary Booth
S. Spierings
N. Caliskan
J. Sanabria
S. Lobzhanidze
S. Solans
M. Guilavogui
Los Angeles Galaxy (4-2-3-1)
J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller
C. Garcés
J. Haak
J. Nelson
P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto
H. Lozano
M. Reus
J. Paintsil
Klauss
Player Ratings ?
Real Salt Lake
S. SolansF8.2
N. CaliskanM7.7
Chadwick Zachary BoothM7.4
Los Angeles Galaxy
J. MarcinkowskiG7.4
Harbor MillerD6.7
J. NelsonD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Real Salt Lake edge defence, Los Angeles Galaxy edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Los Angeles Galaxy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Los Angeles Galaxy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Real Salt Lake stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Los Angeles Galaxy stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Real Salt Lake have enjoyed a more steady run at home with two wins from their last five outings, whereas Los Angeles Galaxy have struggled on the road with just a solitary victory in that same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Los Angeles Galaxy rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while Real Salt Lake rate stronger on defence. Los Angeles Galaxy won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 27 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Real Salt Lake's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Real Salt Lake's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points, while Los Angeles Galaxy's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Real Salt Lake win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Real Salt Lake win
Latest market chance 54.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
57.3% → 54.9%
−2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.7% → 22.4%
+0.7 pts
Los Angeles Galaxy win
Latest market chance 22.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
21.0% → 22.7%
+1.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 6Nov 7
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Real Salt Lake
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
16th
33
Games Played
33
1.27
Points/Game
1.33
1.55
Goals/Game
1.48
1.55
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.5
Shots/Game
13.1
5.5
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Real Salt Lake at home (17 matches) vs Los Angeles Galaxy away (17 matches)
1.94
Points/Game
1.00
1.94
Goals/Game
1.41
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.12
59%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Real Salt Lake
Home form
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Los Angeles Galaxy
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Real Salt Lake Wins
1
Draws
1
Los Angeles Galaxy Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-04-272026
Los Angeles Galaxy2 – 1Real Salt Lake
2025-06-012025
Los Angeles Galaxy2 – 0Real Salt Lake
2025-04-052025
Real Salt Lake2 – 0Los Angeles Galaxy
2024-06-232024
Real Salt Lake0 – 1Los Angeles Galaxy
2024-05-122024
Los Angeles Galaxy2 – 2Real Salt Lake
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Real Salt Lake
vs
Los Angeles Galaxy
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
67.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
47.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
65.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.1%→Latest 67.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 65.2%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 6Nov 7
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Real Salt Lake's 10 matches and 5 of Los Angeles Galaxy's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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