Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Providence Park
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 02:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.78
Draw
3.99
Away Win
4.34
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Ian Smith 🟨
18'
David Da Costa (Vincent Janssen) ⚽
25'
40'
🟨 Diadie Samassekou
61'
🟨 Agustin Resch
Kristoffer Velde (Vincent Janssen) ⚽
65'
71'
⚽ Agustín Bouzat (Duncan McGuire)
Vincent Janssen (David Da Costa) ⚽
78'
Diego Chará 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
18
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Portland Timbers (4-1-4-1)
J. Pantemis
R. Hernández
F. Surman
J. Waterman
Ian Smith
J. Caicedo
A. Lassiter
Eric Izoita
David Pereira da Costa
K. Velde
V. Janssen
Houston Dynamo (4-2-3-1)
J. Bond
L. Ennali
Lucas Halter
A. Resch
F. Negri
D. Samassékou
Artur
A. Ibrahim
A. Bouzat
M. Bogusz
L. Foster
Player Ratings ?
Portland Timbers
V. JanssenF9.2
David Pereira da CostaM8.3
K. VeldeM8.2
Houston Dynamo
A. BouzatM7.6
J. BondG6.9
ArturM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Portland Timbers edge attack, Houston Dynamo edge head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Portland Timbers stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Houston Dynamo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Portland Timbers have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Houston Dynamo have managed just a single win in their corresponding away sample of five matches. At home, Portland Timbers have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same period. Squad availability presents notable challenges for both sides, with Portland Timbers facing five confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player and Houston Dynamo dealing with two certain unavailable players plus three others in doubt. Portland Timbers rate stronger on attack, while Houston Dynamo rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and defence are closely matched. Houston Dynamo won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Portland Timbers's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Portland Timbers's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Houston Dynamo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Houston Dynamo unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Portland Timbers win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Portland Timbers win
Latest market chance 52.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.9% → 52.9%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 23.8%
−0.5 pts
Houston Dynamo win
Latest market chance 23.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.8% → 23.3%
−1.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+2+10−1Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Portland Timbers
Draw
Houston Dynamo
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
10th
32
Games Played
32
1.25
Points/Game
1.59
1.78
Goals/Game
1.31
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.22
13.6
Shots/Game
12.8
4.8
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Portland Timbers at home (17 matches) vs Houston Dynamo away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
1.29
2.18
Goals/Game
1.41
1.65
Conceded/Game
1.65
53%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Portland Timbers
Home form
W
D
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Houston Dynamo
Away form
D
L
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Portland Timbers Wins
1
Draws
1
Houston Dynamo Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-03-152026
Houston Dynamo3 – 2Portland Timbers
2025-09-212025
Houston Dynamo1 – 0Portland Timbers
2025-03-312025
Portland Timbers3 – 1Houston Dynamo
2024-06-022024
Portland Timbers2 – 2Houston Dynamo
2024-03-172024
Houston Dynamo1 – 0Portland Timbers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Portland Timbers
vs
Houston Dynamo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 60.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 60.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Portland Timbers's 10 matches and 5 of Houston Dynamo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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