Portland Timbers vs Charlotte Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Providence Park
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.01
Draw
4.10
Away Win
3.22
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Portland Timbers
Charlotte
3'
⚽ Pep Biel (Ashley Westwood)
Ariel Lassiter (Eric Izoita) ⚽
11'
Eric Izoita 🟨
17'
Ariel Lassiter (Eric Izoita) ⚽
40'
45'
🟨 Nathan Byrne
69'
⚽ Idan Toklomati Jorno (Luca De La Torre)
Alexander Aravena (Cole Bassett) ⚽
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
27
Total Shots
6
13
Shots on Goal
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
9
Starting Lineups
Portland Timbers (4-3-3)
J. Pantemis
R. Hernández
J. Waterman
K. Miller
J. Fory
Eric Izoita
J. Caicedo
David Pereira da Costa
A. Lassiter
V. Janssen
K. Velde
Charlotte (4-2-3-1)
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
H. Kessler
D. Schnegg
A. Westwood
D. Diani
R. Aloko
Pep Biel
L. Abada
I. Toklomati Giorno
Player Ratings ?
Portland Timbers
A. LassiterF9.2
Eric IzoitaM8.3
C. BassettM7.7
Charlotte
K. KahlinaG7.8
I. Toklomati GiornoF7.5
Pep BielM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Portland Timbers edge defence, Charlotte edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charlotte slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Portland Timbers slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charlotte have managed two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, whereas Portland Timbers have secured just a single win in five home matches. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Both squads face significant selection issues, with Portland Timbers having four confirmed out and two doubtful players while Charlotte have four out and one doubtful available for selection. Charlotte rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while Portland Timbers hold a slight advantage in defence. Charlotte won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 5 May 2024, having won 1 of the last 1 encounters to Portland Timbers's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Portland Timbers's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Charlotte's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Portland Timbers win as less likely than it did 7 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Portland Timbers win
Latest market chance 47.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
48.0% → 47.0%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.0% → 23.2%
+0.2 pts
Charlotte win
Latest market chance 29.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.9% → 29.8%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Portland Timbers
Draw
Charlotte
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Portland TimbersCharlotte
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
9th
30
Games Played
30
1.13
Points/Game
1.57
1.70
Goals/Game
1.77
1.87
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.6
Shots/Game
11.5
4.8
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Portland Timbers at home (17 matches) vs Charlotte away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
1.18
2.18
Goals/Game
1.71
1.65
Conceded/Game
2.06
53%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Portland Timbers
Home form
L
W
D
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charlotte
Away form
W
D
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Portland Timbers Wins
0
Draws
0
Charlotte Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Charlotte2 – 0Portland Timbers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Portland Timbersvs
Charlotte
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.2%→Latest 70.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.7%→Latest 69.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Portland Timbers's 10 matches and 3 of Charlotte's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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