Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Talen Energy Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.52
Draw
4.70
Away Win
5.34
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
45+3'
⚽ Dor Turgeman (Peyton Miller)
Bruno Damiani 🟨
61'
Jovan Lukic 🟨
63'
65'
🟨 Jackson Yueill
90+1'
⚽ (P) Carles Gil
Neil Pierre (Kai Wagner) ⚽
90+12'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
25
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Goal
8
4
Corner Kicks
6
14
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
A. Blake
F. Westfield
Neil Pierre
N. Harriel
K. Wagner
Q. Sullivan
D. Jean-Jacques
J. Lukić
I. Vassilev
M. Iloski
B. Damiani
New England Revolution (4-3-3)
M. Turner
I. Feingold
E. Kohler
J. Wynder
P. Miller
Carles Gil
M. Polster
J. Yueill
L. Langoni
D. Turgeman
D. Gazdag
Player Ratings ?
Philadelphia Union
A. BlakeG7.8
K. WagnerD7.0
M. IloskiF6.9
New England Revolution
D. TurgemanF8.2
Carles GilM8.2
M. TurnerG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Philadelphia Union a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union have enjoyed an unbeaten run from four wins and a single draw across their last five home outings, while New England Revolution have secured three victories in two defeats across their last five away fixtures. Philadelphia Union have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet twice during that same span. The hosts face no confirmed departures from their squad, though one player remains doubtful, whereas New England Revolution have two certain absences alongside three others listed as doubtful. Philadelphia Union rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. New England Revolution won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Philadelphia Union's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Philadelphia Union's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points, while New England Revolution's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Philadelphia Union a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Philadelphia Union unbeaten run
13
Philadelphia Union points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Philadelphia Union win as more likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Philadelphia Union win
Latest market chance 61.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
58.6% → 61.8%
+3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.5% → 20.2%
−1.3 pts
New England Revolution win
Latest market chance 18.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.0% → 18.0%
−2.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Philadelphia Union
Draw
New England Revolution
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
4th
30
Games Played
30
1.53
Points/Game
1.73
2.03
Goals/Game
1.63
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.37
16.6
Shots/Game
12.0
5.5
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Philadelphia Union at home (17 matches) vs New England Revolution away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.35
1.88
Goals/Game
1.41
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.59
47%
Win Rate
41%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Philadelphia Union
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
New England Revolution
Away form
L
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Philadelphia Union Wins
4
Draws
0
New England Revolution Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-05-102026
New England Revolution2 – 1Philadelphia Union
2025-09-202025
Philadelphia Union1 – 0New England Revolution
2025-03-092025
New England Revolution0 – 2Philadelphia Union
2024-07-182024
Philadelphia Union5 – 1New England Revolution
2024-05-192024
New England Revolution0 – 3Philadelphia Union
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Philadelphia Union
vs
New England Revolution
Recent Scoring Profile
3.10
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
67.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
46.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.3%→Latest 67.4%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 7 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.5%→Latest 63.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 7 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Philadelphia Union's 10 matches and 3 of New England Revolution's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…