Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Talen Energy Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.52
Draw
5.02
Away Win
5.37
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
19'
🟨 Allan Saint-Maximin
Milan Iloski ⚽ (P)
24'
44'
🟨 Morrison Agyemang
45+1'
🟨 David Schnegg
48'
⚽ Rodolfo Aloko (Idan Toklomati Jorno)
62'
⚽ Idan Toklomati Jorno (David Schnegg)
Bruno Damiani (Danley Jean Jacques) ⚽
73'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
21
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
1
18
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
A. Blake
F. Westfield
Neil Pierre
N. Harriel
K. Wagner
Cavan Sullivan
D. Jean-Jacques
J. Lukić
I. Vassilev
B. Damiani
M. Iloski
Charlotte (4-3-3)
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
H. Kessler
D. Schnegg
D. Diani
A. Westwood
Pep Biel
R. Aloko
I. Toklomati Giorno
A. Saint-Maximin
Player Ratings ?
Philadelphia Union
B. DamianiF8.2
D. Jean-JacquesM7.3
Neil PierreD7.2
Charlotte
I. Toklomati GiornoF8.6
R. AlokoF7.3
Pep BielM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Philadelphia Union edge recent form, attack and defence, Charlotte edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union have secured four wins without defeat in their last five home outings, while Charlotte have recorded three victories from five away fixtures during this same period. The Union have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have kept just two clean sheets across that same sample. One Philadelphia player is unavailable, whereas four Charlotte squad members are out for the upcoming fixture. Philadelphia Union rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Charlotte rate stronger on head-to-head. Charlotte won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 5 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Philadelphia Union's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Philadelphia Union's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points, while Charlotte's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Philadelphia Union losing run
13
Philadelphia Union points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Philadelphia Union win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Philadelphia Union win
Latest market chance 63.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
59.7% → 63.1%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.0% → 19.1%
−1.9 pts
Charlotte win
Latest market chance 17.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
19.3% → 17.8%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Philadelphia Union
Draw
Charlotte
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Philadelphia UnionCharlotte
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
9th
29
Games Played
29
1.55
Points/Game
1.59
2.03
Goals/Game
1.76
1.59
Conceded/Game
1.48
16.6
Shots/Game
11.5
5.5
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Philadelphia Union at home (17 matches) vs Charlotte away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.18
1.88
Goals/Game
1.71
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.06
47%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Philadelphia Union
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charlotte
Away form
W
W
D
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Philadelphia Union Wins
1
Draws
1
Charlotte Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Charlotte2 – 1Philadelphia Union
Charlotte2 – 0Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union2 – 1Charlotte
Philadelphia Union0 – 2Charlotte
Charlotte0 – 0Philadelphia Union
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Philadelphia Unionvs
Charlotte
Recent Scoring Profile
3.10
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.5%→Latest 71.4%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.5%→Latest 65.0%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Philadelphia Union's 10 matches and 2 of Charlotte's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?