Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Exploria Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.01
Draw
4.12
Away Win
3.31
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Orlando City SC
New England Revolution
Braian Ojeda ⚽
45'
Maxime Crépeau 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
15
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
8
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Orlando City SC (4-4-2)
M. Crépeau
Z. Taifi
D. Brekalo
W. Cartagena
Vinícius Nogueira
Marco Pasalic
B. Ojeda
E. Atuesta
I. Angulo
A. Griezmann
M. Ojeda
New England Revolution (4-2-3-1)
M. Turner
I. Feingold
E. Kohler
M. Fofana
W. Sands
M. Polster
J. Yueill
L. Langoni
Carles Gil
D. Gazdag
D. Turgeman
Player Ratings ?
Orlando City SC
B. OjedaM8.2
M. CrépeauG7.3
D. BrekaloD7.0
New England Revolution
M. TurnerG7.4
Carles GilM7.2
M. PolsterM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Orlando City SC edge attack and head-to-head, New England Revolution edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
New England Revolution stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Orlando City SC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
New England Revolution slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Orlando City SC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
New England Revolution have secured four wins from their last five away fixtures, while Orlando City SC remain unbeaten in their last five home matches with four victories and a solitary draw. Orlando City SC have found the net in all five of their recent home outings but have managed only two clean sheets during that same period. New England Revolution rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Orlando City SC rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. New England Revolution won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 20 September 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Orlando City SC's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
New England Revolution unbeaten run
13
Orlando City SC points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Orlando City SC win
Latest market chance 47.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.7% → 47.2%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 23.4%
+0.6 pts
New England Revolution win
Latest market chance 29.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.5% → 29.4%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Orlando City SC
Draw
New England Revolution
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Orlando City SCNew England Revolution
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
4th
33
Games Played
33
1.30
Points/Game
1.76
1.88
Goals/Game
1.67
2.36
Conceded/Game
1.39
12.4
Shots/Game
12.0
5.1
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Orlando City SC at home (17 matches) vs New England Revolution away (17 matches)
1.94
Points/Game
1.35
1.94
Goals/Game
1.41
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.59
59%
Win Rate
41%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Orlando City SC
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
New England Revolution
Away form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Orlando City SC Wins
3
Draws
1
New England Revolution Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.4
New England Revolution4 – 2Orlando City SC
New England Revolution1 – 2Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC3 – 3New England Revolution
Orlando City SC3 – 0New England Revolution
New England Revolution1 – 3Orlando City SC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Orlando City SCvs
New England Revolution
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.70
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.9%→Latest 70.0%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.6%→Latest 70.4%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Orlando City SC's 10 matches and 6 of New England Revolution's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?